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You Can't Have it Both Ways!

Sometimes, I just step back and let everyone “ wallow in their swill. ” I think, like pigs, some of you love it. For the past three years, I have heard, “ Y es, the Dodgers are a great team in the regular season, but they aren’t built and can’t win in the playoffs.” So, that has…

By Mark Timmons6 min readJump to 105 comments

Sometimes, I just step back and let everyone “wallow in their swill.” I think, like pigs, some of you love it. For the past three years, I have heard, “Yes, the Dodgers are a great team in the regular season, but they aren’t built and can’t win in the playoffs.” So, that has been the problem for the past three years: The Dodgers are arguably the best team in the regular season but have been bounced from the playoffs rather unceremoniously in each of those years. So, this year, the Dodgers have taken a different approach, and I have been trying to tell you this, but many of you are too stupid or too stubborn to understand: IF YOU GO HARD ALL SEASON LONG AND ARE SO FAR AHEAD IN SEPTEMBER THAT NO ONE CAN CATCH YOU, YOU BECOME COMPLACENT AND LOSE YOUR EDGE. That gets you bounced from the playoffs.

Last year, the three teams that won 100 games were bounced from the playoffs in the first round. Again, if you fail to comprehend that you should stop reading and just go away right about now. Baseball is played by human beings, albeit very talented human beings, and when they push hard all season and are so far ahead of the competition, they let their guard down and go on cruise control. If you happen to believe that this is not a championship team, then you do not comprehend what I am going to say. However, this year, the Dodgers are changing the playbook. They understand that playing all of September without playing a meaningful game, is not the way to win a championship.

For the past three years, the Dodgers have pushed hard to have the best record in baseball. Just some perspective: It’s all about getting into the playoffs. The regular season doesn’t matter. Who the Dodgers play in the playoffs doesn’t matter. It’s been proven time and time again. Just get into the playoffs. Anything can happen, and the Dodgers absolutely have the skill and talent to beat any of the contenders. So, this season, it appears to me that the Dodgers are not pushing to have that great record. However, for all the wailing and gnashing of teeth, they still have the 5th best record in baseball. The fifth best! Damn… the 5th BEST!

So, what does that mean? It means that Dave Roberts is trying to win the war… not just the battle! There are some major pitching roster decisions coming up. Among the pitchers on the bubble is Yahan Ramirez. Yes, he pitched Friday and Saturday, and Doc wanted to see how he would do back-to-back under extreme duress. Check that box off. Ramirez will not be a Dodger in August. Lose the battle in order to win the war.

The Dodgers have been a .500 team for about six weeks. They have a full roster of pitchers on the IL and two All-Stars (one of whom was in the running for MVP) also on the IL. This is tricky business: Yesterday, Dave Roberts opted to win the war, while losing the battle. Yes, the lack of offense cost them the game, but the pitching is critical and Yohan Ramirez was exposed: He totally imploded under pressure. Better to find out now than in October. In about another month, the Dodgers will start managing with a lot more urgency. Alex Vesia could have come in yesterday, but he is sixth on the team in innings pitched. Do you want him burned out or ready for October? Duhhhh…

Do not dis Ryan Yarbrough. He is 5th in IP on the team, and with a 3.79 ERA, he is a solid part of the bullpen. He eats innings. He wasn’t great yesterday, but the team needs him and Michael Grove as long men in the pen. Yarbrough has had a rough July, but his arm is critical to the Dodger’s success. He eats innings. Let me remind you that Ryan Brasier, Brusdar Graterol, Kyle Hurt, and Joe Kelly are on the IL, but some could return soon.

Anthony Banda (2.19 ERA) has been an outstanding addition. He’s another lefty lockdown reliever the Dodgers need and AF got him at Wal Mart! Brent Honeywell (3 shutout innings) also has my attention. Why anyone would question his acquisition is beyond me… and I would have felt the same way had he given up 12 runs. Many of you have sight… but no vision. Sure, Andrew Friedman can afford to shop at Neiman Marcus, but if Wal-Mart has what he needs, why overpay? Time will tell if the reunion with Brent Honeywell will yield results. Will he be a starter or a bullpen piece? He had four elbow surgeries in three years but is finally healthy and routinely hits mid-to-upper-90s. We shall see.

After the All-Star Break, we will see some changes on this team. I do not expect them to be major, and they don’t need to be. Just because some of you say, “This is not a Championship Team“, does not make it so, the same as me saying “it is a Championship team” makes it so! History will be the decider! Of course, you are going to hear that the Dodgers are looking for starters, and they will be names that are connected to the team. AF is very good at driving up the prices so that other teams have to pay through the wazoo to get players.

We are going to see River Ryan after the All-Star Break. Mookie Betts, Clayton Kershaw, Joe Kelly, Brusdar Graterol, and Jason Heyward are all on track to return as expected. Max Muncy will be shut down until mid-to-late August. Bobby Miller, Tyler Glasnow, Yoshi Yamamoto, and Walker Buehler will likely return at some point with results we cannot predict, but I doubt that it all will be bad. However, the results do not all have to be good either. The Dodgers will be looking to replace Biggio, Outman, and maybe Lux and Vargas at the deadline. Heyward will replace one of those, but a trade is still likely. Who that will be… I haven’t a clue.

I will discuss the draft tomorrow.

X-CITES

Discussion (105)

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  1. CassidyJuly 15, 2024

    No one will remember July if we win our last game in October

  2. M. NorrisJuly 15, 2024

    No one can say Freeman is not trying to win. All you need to do is look at his face when he misses a pitch, he knew he should have crushed. Freddie is the consummate professional. I will watch Kersh’s start on Friday. I do think they will go for at least one impact bat at the deadline, and I know for sure they are trying to land one starting pitcher. News yesterday that the Padres have made one offer to the Sox for Crochet. Yanks said to be bidding for him too.

  3. tedraymond2.0July 15, 2024

    Friedman and Gomes will have many tough decisions to make in the next couple of weeks. What makes it tough is the extensive list of Dodger IL players. It’s damn near an all star team. Like Osteen mentions above, how many are going to actually return and how effective are they going to be? It’s almost a given that there will be criticisms no matter what the front office does or doesn’t do. The bottom line is that it’s up to the players to produce to meet what is expected of them. The better the players produce the less chance of a head scratching Roberts’ decision to affect an outcome.

    Mark, I don’t believe that you are stating the Dodgers have put an extraordinary number of players on the IL to see if their replacements can be successful major leaguers? And, if they don’t play well it’s OK because they can count on most of the infirmed to return for the postseason and be ready to play with the same intensity and talent they were playing with before they were injured? That’s seems like a somewhat arrogant and risky approach by the Dodgers. If they put themselves into position to lose too many battles they may not have the players available to win the war. If not careful, losing can become contagious.

    What’s wrong with trying to win every battle? They don’t need to play all of their star players every game to do so. There are many inferior teams that give the Dodgers a chance to rest players. They have plenty of talent to do so. Their pitching was deep enough to have starters miss a turn now and then. Or to give the BP some rest by letting a starter go further into a game (like yesterday with Honeywell).

    I think the Dodgers are doing what they are doing is because of injuries and not the desire to play .500 baseball. You mentioned that the Dodgers still have the 5th best record in baseball. Why is that important when earlier you wrote it wasn’t? Losing battles were good in order to win the war. No guarantees either way as we have seen in the past.

    Anyway, a good, thought provoking article.

  4. sbuffaloJuly 15, 2024

    Are they really taking a different approach?

    Or is it just circumstances?

    I think the Dodgers want to win every game. Take yesterday. The game sped up on Ramirez and the Dodgers paid the price.

  5. Brian PerkinsJuly 15, 2024

    Rotation after break: Stone, Paxton, Knack, Kershaw, Ryan

  6. Claude OsteenJuly 15, 2024

    I don’t have that much confidence in all the returning from injury players. I think Mookie will be ok but historically I don’t think they will be enough. It’s tough that we can’t wait for Muncy as he “lengthens the lineup”. He is a .223 hitter that strikes out a ton but hits a homer every 15 at bats.

  7. Claude OsteenJuly 15, 2024

    It gets tough to watch when you see Ohtani, Freeman, and Will strike out in key spots looking badly as well. But I get it, it’s part of their plan to save themselves for October. Roberts is doing great at throwing things against the wall to see what sticks.

  8. dodgerramJuly 15, 2024

    Well, I didn´t need yesterdays meltdown by Ramirez to know he will have no place on the postseason roster for the Dodgers. That case was settled already, at the latest on Saturday. If Roberts, as you said, needed it, it does not speak for him.

    Cost him yet another win. And a long flight home after a 1-5 road trip. But if he wins the war I am on board. We will see. Still 7 up.

    Go Dodgers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  9. DanoJuly 15, 2024

    It’s funny that all the best teams took their foot off the accelerator going into the all star game. Nobody wants the bye come October.

    I may not post much. But when I do, I drink Dos Equis.

    Book em

  10. NH DodgerJuly 15, 2024

    I am becoming convinced that this change in approach for the Dodgers extends to the draft and player acquisition. I thought last year’s amateur draft signaled a sea change in their emphasis. The acquisition of Zyhir Hope last off season and the drafting of Kellon Lindsey yesterday seems to add more evidence to the idea that the FO is prioritizing athleticism (particularly speed) more than they had. They have struggled to develop MLB position players for the past 6 years and with recent rule changes and their own struggles in developing MLB position players change is coming.

    Agree with your premise in this post. Baseball season now should be about management with the ultimate goal in mind. In that vein, use the regular season and especially the pre-trade deadline to find out what you have and who fits in the ultimate goal of winning a World Series. That explains why Vanasco pitched the 9th with a 5 run lead and why Johan Ramirez pitched the ninth yesterday. I think they should give Freddie and Teo more time off along these lines but believe Betts will be better in October because he will be fresher. Glad they have plans to see River Ryan in action after the break. They still have a 7 game lead and will, no doubt, get some, if not most, of these key contributors back within a month. Then the push begins in earnest. The phrase that it is a marathon not a sprint is as true in baseball as any other sport. You can’t manage a baseball team like it plays a football season. Maybe this is also been a change in the front office’s approach to winning.

  11. porpoiseboyJuly 15, 2024

    Hey, Philly didn’t do any better than us their last series. Lost two out of three to Oakland including yesterday they lost 18 to 3. Oakland hit 8 homers on them. So that’s how they go into the break. Weird game.

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