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LA Dodger Talk

World Series or Bust!

A few years ago, a blog called The Post Game was published with the picture I just posted on the cover page. There is no photo credit, but they evidently photoshopped it, so kudos to them. I hope they don t mind my using it. In the article they quoted Clayton Kershaw: It s funny that s a headline story World Series or bust, Kershaw told ThePostGame. I feel like every team

By Mark Timmons3 min readJump to 60 comments

A few years ago, a blog called The Post Game was published with the picture I just posted on the cover page.  There is no photo credit, but they evidently photoshopped it, so kudos to them. I hope they don’t mind my using it.  In the article they quoted Clayton Kershaw:

“It’s funny that’s a headline story — World Series or bust,” Kershaw told ThePostGame. “I feel like every team would say that, because what are we all here for, if we’re not trying to win the World Series. That’s all I meant by that.”

Well, the Dodgers  did not win in 2014, but they did win their division for the second time in a row and in 2015, the Dodgers advanced to the National League Division series before being eliminated.  In 2016, they went a step further and were eliminated by the eventual winner of the World Series – the Chicago Cubs.

The natural sequence of things is for them to go to the World Series in 2017…  well, not just go… but win! It’s a lot of pressure and a lot of it involves “luck” but 2017 will be considered a BUST without an appearance in the Fall Classic.

What will happen this season?  That is the big question and you know I have answers.  I think the team is better in 2017 that it was in 2016 and I will give you some reason why:

  1. The team is much deeper than last year.  The Dodgers used 15 starters last season including Mike Bolsinger, Bud Norris and Nick Tepesch.  This year, the Dodgers have 9 quality starters and I doubt they use more than 10 (however, I do not see that as a bad thing – it’s just a different thing). All told, the Dodgers has nearly 40 players who deserved to be on the 25 man roster…  and would be if they were on other teams.
  2. This is Turner Wards second full year.  The Dodger offense improved dramatically under Ward the second half of 2016. They hit .241 with a .708 OPS the first half of last year and .260 and .754 OPS the second half.  That was a considerable improvement and I think you will see the same incremental improvement as well , not just because of Turner Ward, but also because youngsters like Joc Pederson are maturing… maybe even Yasiel Puig.
  3. Confidence is growing.  This team is becoming more confident. It’s a process you go through and they are starting to understand what it takes to win.
  4. They added more and better RH bats.  Of course, Franklin Gutierrez and Logan Forsythe come to mind, but Yasmani Grandal, Justin Turner, Joc Pederson and Corey Seager are intent on hitting LH pitching better.  With Ward’s help and a healthy Trayce Thompson, SVS and/or Puig, I think Lefties will not own the Dodgers as in recent times past.
  5. The front office are not just stat geeks and numbers guys.  They actually value character (measure that) and have programs in place throughout the system to develop and improve it.

Those reasons form the foundation of my optimism. OK, what do I predict?

Lucky Thirteen Predictions

  1. The Dodgers will have four players in the Top 10 in MVP Voting including Justin Turner (look for over 30 HR), Corey Seager and Clayton Kershaw.
  2. Joc Pederson and Yasmani Grandal will each hit close to 40 HR.
  3. Adrian Gonzalez will continue his downhill slide.
  4. Logan Forsythe will have a career year.
  5. Clayton Kershaw and the current other Dodger starters will win  60 games between them.
  6. Clayton will win another Cy Young, beating out a pitcher who will outhomer him.
  7. Julio Urias will have a sub 3.00 ERA and will start the season in Early May.
  8. I have no opinion on Yasiel Puig or Andrew Toles, but Cody Bellinger will take over in RF, LF or 1B in the second half of the season.
  9. Not everything will go right, but there will not be as many injuries as last year and the Dodgers will win 95 games.
  10. Alex Wood and Ross Stripling will prove to be a formidable duo and will pitch nearly 200 innings between them.
  11. There will be a shocking trade.
  12. Dodgers win the World Series as Three Lefties Dominate the Playoffs – Kershaw, Urias and Hill.
  13. Clayton Kershaw will be World Series MVP.

OK, here’s the deal:  You can criticize my predictions ONLY if you make your own too!  Let’s hear them!

My guess on Opening Day Lineup:

  1. Forsythe  2B
  2. Seager  SS
  3. Turner  3B
  4. Grandal  C
  5. A-Gon  1B
  6. Pederson  CF
  7. Toles  LF
  8. Puig  RF
  9. Kershaw  P

Discussion (60)

Disagree, not disagreeable

Be civil — moderation is real. Links may need a moment of review.

  1. QuasimodoApril 3, 2017

    There are more points to agree with and really none to disagree with aside from closer to 100 games than 95. And sure, AGon is in decline and will continue doing so, but about at the same pace his hair turns grey.

    All dug in to my new digs Mark. Got cable hooked up, SNLA, wifi, air conditioning. And just in time! I’m even thinking of getting myself a few beers for this special day. Your today’s read is really fun. CHEERS!

  2. BumsrapApril 3, 2017

    I like Seager hitting second and Turner hitting third but in doing so the team weakens the cleanup hitter spot. I am not ready for Grandal to hit 4th and I have preferred that Gonzales hit 5th for several years now. So, against righties, I think Toles should be moved up the #2 spot.

    .

    If Joc had been used at lead off more in the pre-season, I might guess that he might start the season there. Same logic with Puig not in the #2 spot where I think he will wind up if he gets it going verses just going.

    .

    I will do my predictions later other than guess at 95 wins.

    .

    Forsythe

    Toles

    Seager

    Turner

    Gonzales

    Pederson

    Grandal

    Puig

  3. doubledigitmindApril 3, 2017

    Exceptional vision making for a very interesting read. Were you going to name your 4th MVP candidate? It would be shocking and exciting if the team had 2 players with close to 40 home runs.

    Your opening day lineup looks like it could happen. If everything goes well for certain players I might step out with this lineup later in the season:

    Toles

    Forsythe

    Seager

    Turner

    Agon

    Puig

    Grandal

    Pederson

    Of course, Puig, Grandal and Pederson could all move up if they are mashing.

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