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The Truth About Clayton

It is both wonderful and sad to watch Clayton Kershaw pitch. It’s wonderful that the G.O.A.T. is still pitching, but it’s sad to see what he has become. Last night, he threw six pitches that were 90.0 – 9.5 MPH. If he had 2-3 more MPH on his fastball, his margin for error would…

By Mark Timmons2 min read26 comments

It is both wonderful and sad to watch Clayton Kershaw pitch. It’s wonderful that the G.O.A.T. is still pitching, but it’s sad to see what he has become. Last night, he threw six pitches that were 90.0 – 9.5 MPH. If he had 2-3 more MPH on his fastball, his margin for error would be much greater, but there’s no more left in his tank. His UCL is likely hanging by a couple of strands, so when he does not have “pinpoint location” (like last night), he is very hittable. Typically, no pitcher has his best stuff every time they pitch (maybe it’s like 25% of the time that they do); however, with velocity and movement, they can compensate and mitigate the damage. Clayton is pitching with no margin for error… and last night is typical of what we will see going forward.

His ERA currently stands at 3.62 – I hope he can lower it, but it will be challenging. Blake Snell’s next start will likely be with the Dodgers. Glasnow, Yamamoto, Snell, and Sheehan make up the “Big Four.” Kershaw is #5 and May is #6. Dustin has some trade value and no future with the Dodgers. He is an innings eater, and some team will want that with the hope of “fixing him.” I think he gets traded. Justin Wrobleski is a LHP and slots nicely into the rotation.

I could see a couple of minor trades at the deadline…. including May, but the Dodgers have plenty to win and in fact, are much better than last year… even if Mookie doesn’t get fixed. Donovan makes some sense, but I will be surprised if the Dodgers gut the farm. I won’t post much during the week, but I do have some time on the weekend. I will be in Cincinnati on Wednesday evening for the game.

My Red Sox Fan Meathead son-in-law is coming over this afternoon to watch Buehler and May serve up HR balls. 😉 He’s actually a great son-in-law, and he’s also going to the Dodgers-Reds game with me.

Discussion (26)

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  1. DavidJuly 29, 2025

    2 innings–6 strikeouts. But up 2-0!!

  2. dodgerdadJuly 29, 2025

    Amen AVF !!! she makes joe davis sound like a clown! Enough. …. Dodgers need a series win in Cincinnati! And on the trade front, Duran would be a welcome addition to this lineup! Speed, fire, power, defense! probably won’t happen, but i can dream. second choice? donavon from the cards. left or second. .. Good to see Max and Snell coming back this weekend! Rotation starting to look like it was intended to! Now the bullpen needs a facelift! Trienan struggled once he got 2 strikes. Vesia is a stud! sorry i ever doubted that guy! Might be the dodgers mvp so far!… Glasnow, 7 innings and the boys in blue win again!! .. thanks Mark! damn i missed this!

  3. Andrew Vincent ForteJuly 29, 2025

    Sound off like last night if Jessica Mendoza does the game again tonight. I can’t stand that annoying laugh.

  4. Andrew Vincent ForteJuly 29, 2025

    “Roberts shared on SportsNet LA that Yamamoto likely could have continued pitching against the Reds but is going to next start on Sunday. That would suggest Snell’s return is coming Saturday:

    I thought there was still more in there if we needed, but I felt good going to Vesia right there. He’ll pitch on Sunday. It’ll be a day game, it’ll be hot, so get him to the century mark tonight and he’ll be ready to go again on Sunday.”

    Snell’s start on Saturday is going to be his first for the Dodgers since April 2. He made just two starts before going on the injured list due to left shoulder inflammation”.

  5. Andrew Vincent ForteJuly 29, 2025

    7:10 PM ET

    Dodgers (62-45)

    Reds (56-51)

    SP Tyler Glasnow R

    1-1 2.75 ERA

    SP Nick Lodolo L

    8-6 3.08 ERA

    Confirmed Lineup

    SS Mookie Betts R

    DH S. Ohtani L

    C Will Smith R

    1B F. Freeman L

    RF T. Hernandez R

    CF Andy Pages R

    3B Tommy Edman S

    2B Miguel Rojas R

    LF Esteury Ruiz R

    89° Wind 5 mph L-R

  6. Old Bear 48July 29, 2025

    Freeland activated, Kim to the IL with bursitis in his shoulder.

  7. Old Bear 48July 29, 2025

    Diego Cartaya signed a minor league contract with the Giants.

  8. Mark TimmonsJuly 29, 2025

    Good to have AVF back. Giants Sign Diego Cartaya To Minor League Deal.

  9. Andrew Vincent ForteJuly 29, 2025

    Max Muncy is beginning his rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City today, where he’s scheduled to play third base and get three at-bats, writes Sonja Chen at MLB.com. It’s unlikely that he’ll return to the Dodgers before the team heads back to L.A., but his full rehab schedule hasn’t been solidified yet.

  10. Mark TimmonsJuly 29, 2025

    R.I.P. Ryne Sandberg

  11. Mark TimmonsJuly 29, 2025

    FROM MLBTR:

    Former Prospects Who Now Look Like Change-Of-Scenery Candidates:

    James Outman

  12. BlutoJuly 29, 2025

    BA’s July update to the Top 100

    ($$$$)

    https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/2025-top-100-prospects/

    Rushing and DePaula in top 20.

    Hope, Sasaki and Sirota in top 50

    Freeland and QUintero also land on the list

    Two UDFA’s signed (posted elsewhere)

    Dodgers signed RHP Cullen McKay as a UDFA. Two years at Virginia before transferring to Coastal. Only 12.1 IP last season, but allowed just two runs in three starts with 18/10 K/BB.

    and

    Nondrafted free agent Tommy Case signs wDodgers

    for $422,500 ($272,500 counts vs bonus pool), largest UDFA bonus in 2025. New York prep RHP, fastball to 94 mph, good feel for spin. St. John’s recruit.

    From Bluto’s favorite, the trade value simulator:

    Cardinals GET

    River Ryan

    Emmet Sheehan

    Jackson Ferris

    Total Value

    49.60

    Dodgers GET

    Ryan Helsley

    Brendan Donovan

    Thomas Saggasse

    Total Value

    51

    Dodgers Get:

    Kyle Stowers

    Anthony Bender

    Total Value

    29.5

    Marlins get

    Emmet Sheehan

    29.4

    Dodgers Digest on trade targets (alliteration!)

    https://dodgersdigest.com/2025/07/28/2025-dodgers-trade-deadline-targets-position-players/

    Eric Longenhagen chat:

    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/eric-longenhagen-prospects-chat-7-25-25/

    Dodgers: Chances Hope or De Paula get traded?

    Eric A Longenhagen: Given what the market value of prospects seems to be right now, I’d say it’s unlikely. I’m not sure there’s a big enough fish out there to merit either’s inclusion unless it’s a bold one-for-one deal, or if it turns out someone we didn’t know was available gets moved.

    X look at how prospect reliever Jose Rodriguez unlocked more velocity:

    https://x.com/ben_baggett/status/1948376622840868944

    The almost as bad as Bob Nightengale, Jim Bowden, reviews user trade proposals ($$$)

    https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6518481/2025/07/28/mlb-trade-deadline-scenarios-teams-targets/

    “3. Dodgers get: OF Jarren Duran

    Red Sox get: C Dalton Rushing, RHP Dustin May and OF Kendall George ssubmitted by: Marco Esquadolas

    The Dodgers say no.

    16. Dodgers get: OF Steven Kwan and RHP Emmanuel Clase

    Guardians get: RHP Dustin May, OF James Outman and OF Zyhir Hope submitted by: Andre M.

    The Guardians say no.””

    Mark Feinsand AMA

    https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/1m8hsr8/trade_deadlinethemed_ama_with_mlbcom_national/

    Q: Hey Mark,

    If you had to guess, what do you think the highest-profile player will be traded is that will be a “surprise?” Ie not someone on a typical seller or just someone who is not being reported on as a likely candidate.

    Thanks for your time!

    A: I get this question every year, and every year I have the same answer: If we knew, it wouldn’t be a surprise! We’ve heard about some controllable players that could be available such as Emmanuel Clase, Joe Ryan and Steven Kwan, but if any of them get traded, I think that would qualify as a surprise.

    Q: What is the relief pitcher market looking like?

    A: Like most years, the relief market offers the widest variety of players available. The biggest difference this year is that most of the top relievers are controllable through at least 2026: David Bednar, Jhoan Duran, Griffin Jax, Emmanuel Clase and Pete Fairbanks, just to name a handful. There are also some rentals (Ryan Helsley, Kyle Finnegan) to be had, but the controllable guys are the most coveted. Then there are the “no-name” guys who won’t move any needles within a fan base, but could be impactful regardless. The Rockies have three you should watch: Victor Vodnik, Seth Halvorsen and Jake Bird, all of whom are generating plenty of interest from other teams.

    Baseball America’s Hot Sheet top 20 for this week ($$$$)

    https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/ranking-the-20-hottest-mlb-prospects-hot-sheet-7-28-25/

    Hope and Coppen.

  13. dodgerrickJuly 29, 2025

    Alex Freeland being promoted

  14. MattJuly 28, 2025

    Need Yama to shove tonight and our offense to show up.

    These are the dog days…..

    Yama, Glasnow, Shohei, thats pretty dang good.

  15. MushersPopJuly 28, 2025

    After seeing the Dodgers offense the past few days, I think they need someone who doesn’t strike out to much and can put the ball in play (like Kwan or Donovan).

  16. Old Bear 48July 28, 2025

    Clase placed on unpaid leave due to sports gambling investigation. Dumb ass chowderhead. They just never learn.

  17. dodgerrickJuly 28, 2025

    If Miller thinks less he may get out of his own head and be much better. I can see him trying this out as a real solution.

    May and Gonsolin don’t have a future as Dodgers after this year.

    They have lots of young pitching talent that they have to make room for and neither guy can stay healthy and effective

  18. Mark TimmonsJuly 28, 2025

    Bobby Miller to the pen could be the solution. Just condition him to throw <20 Max Effort Pitches in triple digits. he might become Mason Miller.

  19. Duke Not SniderJuly 28, 2025

    “Glasnow, Yamamoto, Snell, and Sheehan make up the “Big Four.” Kershaw is #5 and May is #6.”

    Somebody has been overlooked here.

    Throws right, bats left….

  20. Mark TimmonsJuly 28, 2025

    Good News and Bad News:

    Good: Conforto is now a star;

    Bad: The rest of the team are fireflies.

  21. Old Bear 48July 27, 2025

    Latest dumb trade idea from a fan, Betts to Atlanta for Acuna. Salaries make that deal impossible. Acuna 5 years younger and 200 million dollars cheaper.

  22. RobJuly 27, 2025

    4-3 Red Sox, sixth inning, Rojas leads off top of inning with a double.

    Betts up.

    You would think Robert’s would have Betts bunt first base line, but for a hit and move Rojas to third. Nope.

    Betts flies out.

    Next to hitters make outs.

    Play small ball, sometimes.

  23. Dan in PasadenaJuly 27, 2025

    If you didn’t call him “meathead” how would we know how Archie Bunker-like you are?! lol

    For some reason I have an idea the Dodgers WON’T give up on May yet. He even looks different today with the scraggly facial hair. Makes me wish he’s decided to “bear down” and reach for something extra. I’m almost certainly wrong but I like the kid. He’s weird looking and I kinda like that too!!

  24. JohnJuly 27, 2025

    The triple that Kershaw gave up had to do with the route that Pages took to the ball. Without that triple Kershaw’s line is pretty good.

  25. JohnJuly 27, 2025

    Would love to see an upgrade in left field.

  26. SpokaneBobJuly 27, 2025

    I will happily look forward to your weekend comments and appreciate the opportunity to read the posters who contribute here.

    Of course nobody knows what Andrew may do this week, but if he does anything I know it will be to make the team better in the long term. The biggest need this team has is health. We have two months to get Max back and our front line starters ready for the playoffs. That includes stretching Shohei out which gives a a big 4 of Ohtani, Yamamoto, Glasnow and Snell. If we have them rolling by October I like our chances.

    We have time to get over some nagging injuries to Kim and Tommy. Mookie is a puzzle but I wouldn’t bet against him finding his way back. Nor would I bet against Freddie getting himself straightened out.

    I think one of Yates or Scott will come around and Sheehan and Wrobleski could bolster the pen.

    We have gone through a rough time lately but we still have one of the best records in baseball. I look forward to another exciting postseason.

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