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LA Dodger Talk

Never Assume

There are two types of people. Those that make assumptions without any logic or proof and those that need proof before believing anything. Before I jump right into this, I am going to give you a quote from Dodgers’ GM, Brandon Gomes about Andrew Friedman: He’s an incredible…

By Mark Timmons3 min read13 comments

There are two types of people. Those that make assumptions without any logic or proof and those that need proof before believing anything. Before I jump right into this, I am going to give you a quote from Dodgers’ GM, Brandon Gomes about Andrew Friedman:

He’s an incredible leader. His ability to take in a ton of different opinions and bake them in, his ability to say ‘I don’t know’ is something that I’ve learned a lot about. You don’t need to have all of the answers, but you have a bunch of really talented people around you to take in different information and ultimately figure out where that path takes you. Those are a couple of things. His humility and his ability to go in and talk to anybody at any time, I think that’s special.

As fans, we always want to have the answers, but as in life, everything is not black and white. There may not be a lot of difference between the best of us and the worst of us. If you think I am about to take this down the Trevor Bauer Path, I am not, but it applies there as well. Never assume, unless you want to be an ass. I have no clue and no prediction of what will happen with Bauer in light of the third accusation. I will watch as it plays out, but you will not be able to call me an…

… and I am not rooting for Bauer – I am rooting for justice. I happen to think that is the only thing that is important. That’s it on Bauer. What other assumptions might we make?

  • Some people assume that Cody Bellinger needs to go to OKC. OK, but does he take Justin Turner with him… who happens to be doing even more poorly?
  • Some fans assume Max Muncy has a problem. Does he?
  • Others assume that Clayton Kershaw will make his annual trip(s) to the IL. Will he.. or maybe he has learned not to push his body so hard?
  • Many fans assume that the Closer’s Role is settled. Is it?
  • It is widely assumed that Bobby Miller, Ryan Pepiot, Landon Knack, Clayton Beeter, and a plethora of other pitching prospects are a year or two away? Are they?
  • Most fans assume that Gavin Lux is destined to be the Dodgers SS. Is he?

We can make all kinds of assumptions… and we all have opinions that are largely formed by our own life experiences and biases. Many times we jump to conclusions like it is an Olympic Sport. Other times, we come to a conclusion and refuse to change our opinion… even though the facts may no longer support that position. It takes a wise person to change their opinion or to have an open mind to accept facts that can change that opinion. Don’t be this guy:

An ostrich with its head in the sand. (Photo by Found Image Holdings Inc/Getty Images)

I am looking forward to this series with the Giants. This should set the tone for the season. It’s “GO TIME!”

News & Notes

  • Caleb Ferguson pitched 2/3 of an inning at OKC… he’s coming along slowly. It looks like maybe a couple of weeks more for him.
  • Miguel Vargas is heating up again after cooling off from a hot start. He was 2-3 with 2 BB and triple yesterday.
  • Michael Grove went 3.2 innings giving up a run and striking out 5. His ERA is 2.92. He has closer stuff.
  • Mike Busch went 2-4 at Tulsa.
  • Eddys Leonard was 2-4 again as he is red hot.
  • Cole Percevil went 3 shutout innings for the win. He has his ERA down to 2.30, but I do not see him as a real prospect.
  • How long do the Dodgers stay with Jake Vogel (.174)? Probably as long as they did with Kendall…

I am making my annual Los Angeles Trip from Tuesday, May 31st until Saturday, June 4th. It is business (all day), but I plan to see some Dodger Games as well as at least one Rancho Cucamonga game. My wife, son, our CRO, and myself have an Air B & B in Pasadena. I am looking forward to it! We have vendor visits at Valencia, Sun Valley, Chino Hills, and two in Temecula. I figured that Pasadena was a good central location.

Discussion (13)

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  1. Jayne CobbMay 3, 2022

    Well said Mark.

    I try NOT to over analyze in the moment. We watch good games and bad games and our mood and (all too often) our perspective shifts based on how many good games or bad games we’ve seen in the past week or so.

    As far as Mookie; yes, that contract was a big risk. One that isn’t in AF’s nature. I had mixed feeling at the time. But I’ve said before and I will say again, baseball is a lot like poker. For all the strategy and analysis, the goal in poker is to put as many chips in play when the odds are most in your favor. That in no way a guarantees that you’ll take down the pot (and knock out your competition), but it puts you in the best position for that to happen.

    I wasn’t overly thrilled with the Betts signing. I was very happy Betts was a Dodger. But I understood the risks. At that time, in that moment… if a team was going to commit $300m+ to a player, Mookie was the best bet for a player not named after a fresh water fish. I know AF was under pressure to lock in a super star (for business reasons), so he made the best bet he could.

    You go all in when you calculate the odds are most in your favor. No guarantees are ever involved. That’s all you can do. Fortunately the Dodgers are one of a handful of teams with a deep deep bank. They can go all in, bust and still be in the next game.

    Mookie wasn’t a bad bet. At that moment in time. It’s yet to be seen if we get rivered and bust. That question won’t be answered for a number of years. But we will be in the game going forward, either way. Having a deep pocket is certainly a luxury.

  2. CassidyMay 2, 2022

    Amazing that Greinke is still a very effective pitcher. What a craftsman! He might be an interesting pick up for the second half if the injury bug hits

  3. MushersPopMay 2, 2022

    Regarding the Betts contract. Mookie has 115 million in differed money. The deferrals are without interest. If Betts is traded, the future deferrals are voided, and the annual salaries are converted to present-day money. The contract would, as a result, increase in value.

  4. BumsrapMay 2, 2022

    I would take more chances on a long term contract with a guy built like Betts than on one with a build like Judge.

    I’ve never been a supporter of Muncy and have included him in many proposed trades but it wasn’t like I was trying to get a bag of balls for him. I wanted a player in exchange as good as those here have valued Muncy.

    Maybe it’s time to platoon Bellinger.

    A couple of us wanted Chapman for third base this year. Most did not.

  5. Andrew Vincent ForteMay 2, 2022

    Dodgers Designate Carson Fulmer For Assignment

    By Anthony Franco | May 2, 2022 at 1:36pm CDT

    The Dodgers have designated reliever Carson Fulmer for assignment, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times was among those to relay. Utilityman Zach McKinstry was also optioned to Triple-A Oklahoma City to comply with the reduction in active roster sizes from 28 to 26.

    Fulmer’s stay in the majors lasted just two days, as Los Angeles selected him when Mitch White hit the COVID-19 injured list on Saturday. He didn’t wind up making an appearance, and his time in the organization could now be coming to its end. While L.A. didn’t need to clear 40-man roster space, Fulmer was out of minor league option years. The only way to take him off the big league club was to remove him from the 40-man entirely.

  6. BadgerMay 2, 2022

    I don’t know if this means anything this early, but it kinda follows along with my concerns regarding starting pitching

    https://www.mlb.com/stats/team/pitching/innings-pitched?split=sp

    Might need to run that by Jeff.

    Like I said, it’s early, and maybe innings will slowly build.

  7. FallitoMay 2, 2022

    @B&P, I am with you in your Max and JT assessment. I will go further. I will even sit Muncy this mini series so he has 4 days of trying to figure out; right now he is just trying to pull everything and I cringed everytime I see the starting lineup with him at the cleanup spot. I think ERios can be hitting more if given more frequent reps.

  8. Mark TimmonsMay 2, 2022

    Mercifully, the Mets DFA’ed Robinson Cano. He hasn’t been good in years. This is what I fear Mookie will be in 5 years. Those contracts are Always a boat anchor.

  9. OldBear48May 2, 2022

    I am looking for them to get more out of this vaunted offense. I definitely think Taylor is better when he is super subbing than being out there every day. One plus is he is hitting the ball harder than anyone else on the team. Nice to see Cody break the slump and hit a hard double yesterday. Bull pen has been just a little shaky the last couple of games, but Kahnle looked great. Bellinger leads the team with 28 K’s. Taylor is right behind with 25, but in 11 less at bats. Bellinger striking out over 33% of the time, Taylor close to 40. More contact is definitely needed from those two. This team still strikes out too much.

  10. BulldogsandPenguinsMay 2, 2022

    Well, this should be an interesting week, especially on this site with two off days on the schedule as bookends to the the two game Giant’s series. Then, off to Chicago for a weekend series against the Cubbies. The schedule will be jam packed with 13 in a row without an off day beginning in Chicago, then off to Pittsburg, then back home for the Phillies and D-Backs.

    I would imagine there will be little Trevor Bauer news in the meantime. No more administrative leaves and extensions. Just an arbitration hearing that will be kicked down the road as far as MLB possibly can.

    We’re bunched up in the NL West with the Giants, Padres and Rockies all within a game and a half of each other. The best teams in each league are also hoping for freeway series with the Dodgers and Angels records are just below the Mets and Yankees.

    Many believe that the Dodgers, who have the best pitching in baseball are in need of another starter. I get it. Anderson and Heaney don’t instill confidence and Kershaw has shown us repeatedly that he needs a vacation during the season each year. We don’t need pitching right now, and no one is going to trade anything good right now either, so Ying and Yang are in harmony.

    Teams will hold onto their pitching and other players, for the most part, until the trade deadline where they will be able to extract the most from teams looking to improve. With more teams eligible for the playoffs, there will be more demand and less supply than we’ve seen in the past. AF prepared for this by signing as many projects as possible.

    I sure was hoping to see shiny new toy, Carson Fulmer in yesterday’s game with a big lead, but it wasn’t in the Cards. Instead, Bickford came in and gave up a knock, a bomb to HOF’er Miggy and managed to also strike out the side. Bruihl was nice enough to come in and make it close enough for a rusty Kimbrel to come in a vulture a save, his 4th of the season. Wow, Kenley is back and dominating for the Braves. I’d still rather have Kimbrel. Sometimes a change of scenery is needed to re-energise a player.

    Say what you want about Belli and Lux, but Muncy and JT are killing this team’s offense. Muncy is no doubt going to have to go through it recovering from injury. Maybe Rios and Hanser should be the 3B/DH platoon. CT3 sure isn’t AJ Pollock with the bat. I liked him better off the bench as well. He had a knack for a clutch pinch hit when needed. Unfortunately, that role has been all but decimated by the DH.

    Freeman and Barnes are the only players on the team with an OPS over 800. But, somehow we’re still one of the most proficient teams at scoring runs.

    After a strong Spring, Justin Upton is still jobless.

    Busch, Vargas and Pepiot aren’t knocking at the door, they’re knocking it down. Pillar and Noda might look really good in LF.

    Rosters need to be trimmed by two. Bruihl, Moronta, Phillips and McKinstry all have their hats in the ring for an Oklahoma vacation. Phillips doesn’t have any options, but does anyone really think he’s going to be on the roster all season?

    Some people deal in facts, while others deal in feelings. It is what it is.

  11. OldBear48May 2, 2022

    Great stuff Mark. I totally agree. You often want to see everything in black and white. Baseball is not and never is that way. For years teams have been secretive about many things including injuries and trade scenarios. I was not a huge AF fan when he first came over . I questioned many of his moves. But I am a fan, what do I know? I have been pretty busy with my brother since he came home, but am finding time for some me time. Enjoy your Cali trip. B&P let me know where you plan to meet up with Watford this Saturday.

  12. BobbyMay 2, 2022

    Watford, man you’re coming this week!!

    Unfortunately, I’ll be in Wash DC/Baltimore this week, and won’t return until next Tuesday. What day are you leaving??

  13. Mark TimmonsMay 2, 2022

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/05/willie-calhoun-wants-to-be-traded-from-rangers-following-triple-a-demotion.html

    I have heard rumors for years that he is a head case. Maybe it is true…

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