My Not So Professional Analysis of the Trade Deadline
Well, here we go. The deadline has passed. Which teams improved their lot the most, and who fanned? The Dodgers, after their initial flurry of activity last week, were expected to be in on just about every good starting pitcher out there. What ended up happening was not what the…

Well, here we go. The deadline has passed. Which teams improved their lot the most, and who fanned? The Dodgers, after their initial flurry of activity last week, were expected to be in on just about every good starting pitcher out there. What ended up happening was not what the fans wanted.
The Astros get Verlander from the Mets. Although the Dodgers were thought to be in on Verlander, I never really got the sense that he wanted to come to LA. I also thought that the vesting option, which would guarantee him 35 million dollars in 25 if he pitched 140 innings next season, was a sticking point for LA. The option became a player option if he reached 140 innings.
In the end, the Astros sent their two best OF prospects to the Mets for Verlander. But the Mets are also paying 54 million dollars off his contract. It is a win for Houston, who gets a veteran ace to lead their young rotation.
The Mets kept busy and sent Max Scherzer to the Rangers for Ronald Acuna’s little brother. The Mets also sent a lot of money to the Rangers to cover at least a large portion of Scherzer’s 43-million-dollar option for 24 that he exercised when the trade was announced. Starting pitching has been a weakness for the Rangers, and they picked up a couple, also getting Jordan Montgomery from the Cardinals, who traded a few players away.
The Mets sent Tommy Pham to the D-Backs for minor-league infielder Jeremy Rodriguez. The Mets were in full sell mode, also sending Dominic Leone to the Angels. They traded Mark Canha to the Brewers. Most of the moves brought back minor-league players to help replenish the Mets farm system. Then late in the day, they acquired Adam Kolarek and Phil Bickford from the Dodgers for cash.
Miami was busy, trading Garrett Cooper and minor league lefty Sean Reynolds for Ryan Weathers. They also sent Jake Eder to the White Sox for Jake Burger. And in a last-minute move, they got Josh Bell from Cleveland for Kahlil Watson and Jean Segura. Bad day for Segura as the Guardians announced he would be released. The Mariners will also release Kolten Wong. They acquired reliever Eduard Bazardo from the Orioles.
The Cardinals, who earlier sent Montgomery to the Rangers, cleaned house some more, sending DeJong to the Jays for a minor league pitcher, and then they traded Jack Flaherty to the Orioles for three minor leaguers. Both pitchers had been on the Dodger’s radar.
Other than the trades they made last week for Hernandez, Lynn, Kelly, and Rosario, the Dodgers were expected to be very busy. Well, it did not work out that way. I never felt they wanted Scherzer back. They were very interested in Verlander. In my mind, I always felt one of the other starters, Giolito, Montgomery, Flaherty, made more sense. As the deadline approached, it became clear that they were targeting Eduard Rodriguez of the Tigers. I thought they might have an interest in Lorenzen, but he ended up in Philly.
An hour before the deadline, the news broke that the Dodgers and Tigers had a deal in place, and then Rodriguez exercised his no-trade clause, which had the Dodgers as one of the teams he would not approve. That is his right; it is in his contract. Most Dodger fans think he is nuts, wanting to stay in Detroit rather than come pitch in LA. But he cited wanting to stay closer to home and family on the east coast.
This, unfortunately for the Dodgers, left them with very little time to pivot and find another option. So, just after the deadline passed, the Dodgers announced they had traded for Ryan Yarborough of the Royals. A lefty, he has a 4-5 record in 14 games. Seven of them were starts. He has won four of his last five starts. Overall, his ERA is over 4. But in his seven starts, his ERA is 3.08. The price for him was Devin Mann and Derlin Figueroa. The Dodgers then sold Eddys Leonard to the Tigers. Yarborough has a very low walk rate. He was injured earlier this year when he was hit in the face by a Ryan Noda line drive.
As far as their division opponents go, all of the Western Division teams made deals of one kind or another. The Rockies unloaded some players, sending Grichuk and Cron to the Angels. Then they traded Brad Hand to the Braves. They also purchased Justin Bruihl from the Dodgers.
The Giants picked up AJ Pollock and Mark Mathias from the Mariners for cash. They were said to be pursuing some other RH-hitting outfielders, but nothing materialized. They have some issues with their rotation, as DeSclafani has an injury.
The Diamondbacks were very busy. They got Pham from the Mets at the deadline. They traded Chafin to the Brewers, receiving Peter Strzelecki in return. They also picked up Paul Sewald from the Mariners. The Padres also were very busy. They got Rich Hill and Ji-Man Choi from the Pirates. Then they got Garrett Cooper from the Marlins. Cooper cost them Ryan Weathers, the only major leaguer they gave up in any of their deals. Then, after the deadline passed, it was announced that they had received Scott Barlow from the Royals.
The West is a tight race as it stands right now. None of the contenders made what could be considered a franchise-shifting move. It seemed to me that all of the teams who are in the race made what I would consider depth moves. Barlow has an ERA over 5. But he also has 14 saves for the woeful Royals. A right-handed option for Josh Hader. Although the Pads have little hope of catching any of the front runners, they obviously feel that they can make it to the playoffs via the Wild Card.
The Diamondbacks went for depth. They had little, but that has changed some now. Pham gives them some pop off of the bench, something they lack. They also picked up Jace Peterson from the Brewers. Sewald, to them, is obviously a better option than Chafin. The Giants, in my humble opinion, did nothing to improve the team. Pollock is probably having the worst season of his career. Mathias is nothing more than a backup infielder.
The AL East, maybe the best division in baseball, saw Toronto and the Jays make major moves. The Jays went out and got Jordan Hicks and then Paul DeJong from the Cardinals. The Rays traded their top 1st base prospect, Kyle Manzardo to the Guardians for Aaron Civale, bolstering their starting staff. Boston picked up a utility infielder, Luis Urias, and then DFA’d Jorge Alfaro. Baltimore picked up Flaherty and traded Bazardo. The Yankees picked up a couple of relievers after the deadline passed.
Overall, there was more movement than most expected, but some who were expected to be traded were not, including Tim Anderson, Eduard Rodriguez, Tyler O’Neil, and Dylan Carlson. Other than Verlander and Scherzer, you could say no real star players got moved despite all the rumors that said they would.
Teams are now locked in roster-wise. They get to add two players come September 1st. There will no doubt be some players who will not be on the rosters come playoff time. There will be injury replacements and players who will get released.
The Dodgers added two starting pitchers, a relief pitcher, a utility player, and a SS/2nd baseman. The cost was several prospects and the DFAing of Bruihl, Bickford, and Eddys Leonard. I want to see how the new additions perform before I pass judgment. Hernandez and Rosario have had decent starts to their tenures. Kelly had a successful first inning. Lynn goes tonight. Yarborough will no doubt get a start next week or this weekend when they meet the Padres. Saddle UP!
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Discussion (136)
Disagree, not disagreeable
Still a long way from the playoffs, but as of now, it is up-for-grabs as to who will be this team’s 3rd playoff SP after witnessing Gonsolin’s shaky performance tonight.
Lynn, Miller, Pepiot, Sheehan, “committee?”
Gonsolin’s velocity is down tonight!
Gonsolin has left several very comfortable pitches for hitters
Gonsolin’s now a five-and-dive starter.
Oh by the way. Wasnt there people that said. No, we shouldn’t get Amed Rosorio. And guess what home run tonite. Now what you think. And now Migel Rojas home run tonite in the same game oh my the shortstop and the second baseman both hit home runs tonite for the dodgers. Has that happened yet this year? Bear just loves when I bring up Rosorio and being a Dodger now.
Life would be fantastic if Dodgers would face Athetics all the time.
Looky looky who just got his first dinger! Finally! And Freddie is just out of his mind right now! Baseballs best bargain!
If only we got Cease or Giolito! Maybe this kid Friedman knows what he’s doing!
Hunter Pence has been playing for the Savanna Banana’s
Watched Montgomery pitch for OKC today. Looks like he is rounding into form. Devastating breaking stuff. He has up until today pitched only around 40 innings. He could make an emergency start or two. They were lamenting the loss of Devin Mann on the broadcast. Busch with another bomb tonight, #19. Ward has one too. Got news late this afternoon that one of our picking on the porch members had passed away this morning. One of my favorite people. Del played bass and was a native Coloradan. He loved his country music. At one time he was the mayor of the little town of Williamsburg which is about 8 miles southeast of me. RIP Del.
Good on Outman putting the ball in play with 2 strikes and hustling up the line to score another run.
Maine is a beautiful state, Portland a wonderful city. The Portland Sea Dogs play there. Their a double A
affiliate of the Red Sox.
Anxiously waiting for the Ryan Yarbrough Era to start!
Seriously, I am. My 13-year-old son, the crafty southpaw, needs some more modest-velocity role models.
While there was no big-name acquisition, I still think this first-place team has improved its chances for the stretch run and postseason.
Why? For starters, Lynn is a lot better than his ERA suggests. His career, while not in the Scherzer/Verlander stratosphere, is better that Giolito’s and Rodriguez’s. He’s a few years older that those guys–and a few years younger than S/V–but could be just a few tweaks from being his not-so-old self. (The more Giolito pitches for Anaheim, the more I prefer Lynn.)
I choose to be optimistic about Kershaw, Miller, Urias, Gonsolin, Sheehan and Yarbrough. And Brandon Gomes suggests that Buhler really could be back in September. That could be a big boost.
I am saving my pessimism for the position behind the plate.
Will Smith needs to stay healthy to he can play. But the more he plays, the more chance he has of getting hurt.
I’m ok with the deadline because hung onto our prospects.
Liam Hendricks of the White Sox needs TJ surgery. Padres hammered the Rockies 11-1. Now one game under .500 at 54-55.
Seager looks just like Jamie on blue bloods! Love that show! Grandsons first birthday this weekend, so had to come to New Hampshire this weekend. Hope to come up to Boston soon and watch Dodgers. Love your takes Mark, agree with 95%, but can’t agree about Barnes be a great defender behind the plate. Never had impressed me . BUT, I will say he is better than Grandal any day! He’s not the worst of last 5-6 years. Gary Sanchez anyone? That Gary! He’s Scary! As tha absolutely horrible John Sterling used to say! Should be fun watching Doc figure out pitching rotation! Any many miny mo. Yarbrough, Sheehan, Miller, Clayton, Julio,Tony, Lynn, and Grove! Have fun Doc!
Tuesday scores
Round Rock 4, Oklahoma City 2
Wichita 3, Tulsa 1
Fort Wayne 10, Great Lakes 5
Fresno 2, Rancho Cucamonga 1
Wednesday schedule
4:05 p.m. PT: Great Lakes (Ronan Kopp) at Fort Wayne (Henry Henry)
5:05 p.m.: Oklahoma City (Mike Montgomery) vs. Round Rock (Owen White)
5:05 p.m.: Tulsa (Orlando Ortiz-Mayr) at Wichita (Pierson Ohl)
6:50 p.m.: Rancho Cucamonga (Gabe Emmett) at Fresno (Mason Albright)
10:10 PM ET
Athletics (30-78)
Dodgers (60-45)
SPHogan Harris L
2-5 6.07 ERA
SPTony Gonsolin R
5-4 4.25 ERA
Confirmed Lineup
RF Mookie Betts R
1B F. Freeman L
C Will Smith R
2B Amed Rosario R
3B Max Muncy L
DH Chris Taylor R
CF James Outman L
LF E. Hernandez R
SS Miguel Rojas R
76° Wind 11 mph Out
Time out to Ponder this….
1. Mookie
2. Seager
3. Freddie
4. Bellinger
5. JDM
6. Will Smith
7. Max Muncy
8. Perralta/ Kike
9. James Outman
If only we had gotten Giolito!
It’s not the velocity. It’s the Pitch Movement!
According to Baseball Savant, here are the averages of Tony Gonsolin’s fastball over the years:
2019 – 93.6 MPH
2020 – 95.1 MPH (anomaly – short season)
2021 – 93.8 MPH
2022 – 93.8 MPH
2023 – 92.5 MPH
So, he is down 1.3 MPH over past years. That is not a lot. But Wait!
In his last three outings, the announcers and Doc have said that he has experienced an “uptick” in his velocity, so I went back and counted the pitches in his last start. Here is what I found:
21 pitches over 93 MPH
6 Pitches over 94 MPH
3 Pitches over 95 MPH
I think it is either his mechanics, release point, grip, or the space between his ears. Maybe all three!
If you go here you can see he has less movement:
Open on baseballsavant.mlb.comhttps://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/tony-gonsolin-664062?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb@bluto
about Gonsolins dropped velo :
Open on www.truebluela.comhttps://www.truebluela.com/2023/6/13/23758925/tony-gonsolin-scoreless-dodgers-home-runs-white-soxAgain, I would not be surprised if the Dodgers remove him from the rotation or put him on IL .
Go Dodgers!!!!!!1
Just keep winning games and series and stay slotted in the #2 seed. Sure would be nice to get Pepiot built up, could be a big weapon.
For all that wanted Giolito:
Gave up 9 ER in 3.3 innings vs the Braves today. Got hit like a rented mule.Literally.Lol
Braves definetely are the team to beat this season.
Go Dodgers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Wow, that Gelof dude for Oak/LV looks legit.
God willing, his brother has similar talent and progression to the bigs. We have an opening at 3b waiting for him.