Much Too Early Prediction Monday
Let’s assume that the Dodgers make no more changes to their roster. That’s not likely, but for the purposes of this exercise, we’ll make it so. These are my predictions for how the players presently on the 40 man roster will perform next year: Pitchers: W L ERA IP H R BB SO SV WHIP Scott Alexander 2 3 4.12 53 48 17 26 48 1 1.235 Pedro Baez
Let’s assume that the Dodgers make no more changes to their roster. That’s not likely, but for the purposes of this exercise, we’ll make it so. These are my predictions for how the players presently on the 40 man roster will perform next year:
Pitchers: W L ERA IP H R BB SO SV WHIP
Scott Alexander 2 3 4.12 53 48 17 26 48 1 1.235
Pedro Baez 6 3 2.90 73 54 24 25 75 1 0.980
Walker Buehler 17 6 2.87 212 176 84 42 226 0 1.028
JT Chargois Spends the year in the minors
Caleb Ferguson 6 3 2.97 64 54 19 31 78 0 1.320
Dylan Floro Spends the year in the minors
Tony Gonsolin 7 4 3.37 89 71 30 21 92 2 1.034
Victor Gonzalez 1 2 4.35 23 24 10 10 23 0 1.478
Kenley Jansen 4 1 3.09 71 54 22 15 87 33 0.972
Joe Kelly 3 5 4.06 64 48 26 26 65 0 1.156
Clayton Kershaw 14 7 3.17 189 153 60 46 194 0 1.052
Adam Kolarek 1 1 2.12 33 22 7 7 29 0 0.879
Kenta Maeda 10 9 4.09 164 143 67 49 174 0 1.171
Dustin May 10 5 3.39 153 141 52 29 169 0 1.111
Casey Sadler Spends the year in the minors
Dennis Santana Spends the year in the minors
Josh Sborz Spends the year in the minors
Ross Stripling 9 5 3.33 123 116 41 31 128 0 1.195
Blake Treinen 0 2 2.46 61 44 15 15 87 10 0.967
Julio Urias 11 7 3.73 177 153 66 38 183 0 1.079
Mitchell White Spends the year in the minors
Catchers: AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB SO BA OPS
Austin Barnes 184 30 41 13 1 8 34 3 47 .223 .653
Keibert Ruiz Spends the year in the minors
Will Smith 382 68 91 15 2 18 59 4 71 .254 .811
Infielders:
Matt Beaty 321 52 89 22 0 15 80 1 42 .277 .822
Enrique Hernandez 450 60 106 21 2 18 66 8 102 .236 .725
Gavin Lux 249 51 77 18 3 11 61 5 49 .309 .850
Zach McKinstry 54 13 15 6 0 4 20 1 20 .278 .720
Max Muncy 590 103 165 32 0 31 101 2 110 .279 .910
Edwin Rios 125 21 36 11 0 12 48 0 56 .288 .862
Corey Seager 601 98 191 50 2 24 96 3 112 .318 .915
Justin Turner 570 86 167 33 0 28 98 0 93 .292 .836
Tyler White Spends the year in the minors
Outfielders:
Cody Bellinger 630 124 198 40 13 43 122 23 112 .315 1.063
Kyle Garlick 62 17 18 9 0 8 17 0 26 .290 .798
Joc Pederson 511 88 129 26 1 31 80 3 118 .252 .987
DJ Peters 50 10 14 3 0 5 14 0 24 .288 .828
A.J. Pollock 426 61 121 19 0 22 78 0 121 .284 .802
Chris Taylor 430 59 115 21 2 17 62 3 127 .267 .821
Alex Verdugo 481 66 145 28 3 18 71 3 119 .299 .821
Some Minor League Players who may contribute or are September call-ups:
W L ERA IP H R BB SO SV WHIP
Josiah Gray 0 0 3.33 12 8 4 3 14 0 0.917
Marshall Kasowski 0 0 1.43 7 4 1 3 10 0 1.000
Casey Crosby 0 1 3.89 18 10 7 14 22 0 1.333
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB SO BA OPS
Jeter Downs 12 3 4 1 0 1 5 0 5 .333 .700
Because of the constraints of time, I didn’t accurately determine what the batting average and OPS would be for the position players. I did have to get some work done this weekend.
I do not think there’s a snowball’s chance on a So. California summer’s day, that the 40 man roster will not change between now and the beginning of Spring Training. It will be different. How different, I have no idea.
Now it’s your turn. Let’s take a break from bashing the front office and speculating as to whom the Dodgers will trade for, etc, and have a Monday fun day. Take some risks with your predictions, as “the points don’t matter and every prediction is made up.” Despite that, there will be a prize of some sort for those who’s predictions most often come the closest to what actually happens. There will also be a very special prize for that person who remembers at the end of next season that we did this today.
One last thing: shortly after reading that Kluber was traded to the Rangers, I was listening to a Traffic album on my iMusic and, with apologies to Jim Capaldi and Stevie Winwood, I revised the “Dear Mr. Fantasy” lyrics as follows:
Dear Mr. Friedman make us a trade
Something to make us all happy
Do anything, take us out of this gloom
Trade for Lindor, buy a starter, but make it snappy
You are the one who can make us all laugh
But doing nothing will bring the tears and jeers
Please don’t say you will, if you don’t care to spend
Cause we have been patient for all these years
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Discussion (98)
Disagree, not disagreeable
Rudy, ha ha, well done, very funny.
The Dodgers are a Ferrari, with Cole it was sought to give it more power, it was not achieved but they are still a Ferrari.
The Dodgers need a pitcher like Clevinger right now, that would make a hypothetical October rotation of:
1 Buehler
2 Clevinger
3 Urias
4 May / Kershaw
The Dodgers could have Lindor, Betts, Trout together on the team but if Kershaw starts two games in the world series, I’m sorry to tell you that we’re not going to win, Kershaw and Ryu himself can’t stop a strong American league offense, no It reaches them, so another pitcher No.1 or No.2 would give kershaw only one game.
Lindor will always be welcome but pitchers are more urgent.
The Dodgers need a pitcher like Clevinger right now, that would make a hypothetical October rotation of: 1 Buehler
2 Clevinger
3 Urias
4 May / Kershaw
The Dodgers could have Lindor, Betts, Trout together on the team but if Kershaw starts two games in the world series, I’m sorry to tell you that we’re not going to win, Kershaw and Ryu himself can’t stop a strong American league offense, no It reaches them, so another pitcher No.1 or No.2 would give kershaw only one game.
Lindor will always be welcome but pitchers are more urgent.
Fuckin stan kasten aka smithers from the simpsons needs to make a move
2d now make your playoff predictions. That’s what really matters!
DodgerRick:
With Homeboy Moya’s takes it’s all about the IQ!!!
Truth be said, I don’t want to lose Ruiz, but can anyone give me an idea what the future holds for Diego Cartaya??? Saw him in a couple games in the AZL and I liked the kid.. Comfortable behind the dish with good footwork…
If Cartaya is what he is projected to be then I could see trading Ruiz, but I can’t make that determination until he get to GL. I think he should be pushed.
There are rumblings that Clevinger has some serious back/shoulder issue.
Also, it’s possible that Lux, Ruiz and Gonsolin could be better than Lindor and Clevinger.
I was studying some video in the DR and Lux has came so far, but I don’t think he even close to where he will be…. maybe THIS year.
Wade Miley, Alex Wood, Julio Tehran, Andrew Cashner, Homer Baily, Jason Vargas, Gio Gonzales, Jhoulys Chacin and many others pitchers are still available. Some of these look like a typical FA signing/reclamation project we’ve far too often become accustomed with.
If the FO is indeed going to improve the SP it will have to by way of a trade, otherwise take a hard pass on any of the available FA starting pitchers still available sans Ryu.
Cross Wade Miley off the list (Reds)
Career stats (Baseball Reference) against teams with .500+ winning records.
Clevinger: .252 / .344 / .422 / .766 tOPS+ 1.33
Maeda: .237 / .312 / .416 / .727. tOPS+ 116
Ryu: .245 / .293 / .380 / .681 tOPS+ 1.02
Buehler: .197 / .262 / .333 / .596. tOPS+ 94
Kershaw: .119 / .175 / .131 / .306. tOPS+ 58
Obviously not facing the same opponents. Draw your own conclusions. For me, to trade May I want a better pitcher against .500+ teams than Clevinger.
I enjoy reading Jayne Cobb’s comments especially about the minor league experiences. Good stuff. Maybe she could write a column here. You think Mark?
Scouts still rave about Julio Urias’ stuff, but Dustin May is very close and Tony Gonsolin is also there.
As you know, I was not happy with the drafting of Lux and Kendall. Kendal has all the “WOW Tools” but he is still a big disappointment. All Lux did was what I tell employees I hire:
1. Show Up;
2. Step Up;
3. Shut Up!
As I mentioned, I was watching video of his swing and you can see him get better, day-by-day. This kid just keeps evolving. I have warmed up to him to the point of where he is untouchable. Lindor benefits immensely by playing at the Jake. He hits .310 at home (.374 OB%) and .266 on the road (.320 OB%). To put it another way, his OPS at home is .901 (superstar), but on the rod it is .781 (Journeyman).
I don’t not get the fascination with him, and neither does AF. I guarantee it! He will never be a Dodger unless Cleveland just rolls over.
In 2019, Lindor hit .284 with a .335 OB% and had a ,854 OPS. He did hit 32 HR, but he would have had less if he played in Chavez Ravine.
Lux could put up similar numbers in his rookie year.
Lux could be ROY and May could be RPOY.
Shadddduuupppp with all this nonsense, already!
I think DodgerRick has it all figured out. I think he is finally thinking what I am… but I am thinking what I am now because of what he said!
I trust AF to make the right decision with the prospects. So far he’s dealt away the the right prospects. Lindor and Clevinger are two actual star player. There’s a lot of COULD BE with prospects. I have a hard time believing the Indians would deal Clevinger.