Just Wait Until Next Year…
It’s a day later, and I have moved on. I am resigned to waiting until next year. Many of the fans on LADT are of the “older variety.” They remember when the winner of the National League and the winner of the American League played for the World Series Championship. If you had a…

It’s a day later, and I have moved on. I am resigned to waiting until next year. Many of the fans on LADT are of the “older variety.” They remember when the winner of the National League and the winner of the American League played for the World Series Championship. If you had a good team and got there, you had a decent chance of winning. Today, you have to win a minimum of eight games in your league before you can go to the World Series. That simply means it is a lot harder to do so. You cannot measure success like you used to.
In 2019, the Nationals got hot and won using fewer pitchers and players than I can remember. In 2017, the World Series title was stolen by the Cheating Asstericks. In 2021, the Braves, who won just 88 games, got hot and won the World Series, but this year they were a much better team, won more games, and lost in the first round. In the National League, three teams won over 100 games: Dodgers (111), Mets (101) , and Braves (101). They have all been knocked out! The two teams left, the Padres and the Phillies, won 89 games and 87 games, respectively. This is the new brand of playoff baseball… like it or not. The teams with the best records in the regular season no longer waltz to the World Series.
The Dodgers were clearly the better team all season. They won 111 games and were 14-5 against the Padres. They actually dominated the Friars. Did they just think they had to show up to beat them? Did the Padres have an increased impetus to beat the Dodgers due to how heavily favored they were? Did the Dodgers not take them seriously? Were the Dodgers not prepared? All of that comes into play. While I believe Andrew Friedman does need to make a few changes (evolution, if you will), he has built a juggernaut of a team. Someone was trying t make the point that the Dodgers have not had that many new major-league stars under Friedman, but Keith Law called their minor-league system “sick” with so many prospects.
The Dodgers have not had that many players promoted because they have so many good-to-great players at the MLB level. Miguel Vargas, Mike Busch, Gavin Stone, Ryan Pepiot, Bobby Miller, James Outman, and some others would be on major league rosters, playing if not for the Dodger’s depth. I think Andrew Friedman could pick any team in MLB and be their President of Baseball Operations. They all would have him. Theo Epstein was once regarded that highly, but no one else is close. To call Friedman a loser is to be ignorant of the facts, simply put.
Baseball has changed. To say that Andrew does not know how to build a team for the playoffs may satisfy your small-minded view of baseball but ignores how baseball has changed. Inferior teams can get hot and win it all. The Braves won 88 in 2021 and then got hot and won it all. They improved the team over the winter and won 101 games, only to get knocked out in the first round. How do you build a team for the playoffs? You build it the same way you build a team for the regular season. Maybe you get hot and win it all, or maybe someone else does. It truly is a crapshoot. Maybe AF should build a team to win 88 games and then get hot… yeah right!
Many moves you blame Doc for are actually S.O.P. Some of these things need to be re-evaluated. I think the Dodgers need to get rid of so many “swing-and-miss” players. I also think you grow your starting pitching – you don’t buy it. Remember this column because it is going to be a while until baseball teams win back-to-back titles. It has become too damn hard. As I write this, Cleaveland is tied with the Yankees 2-2. This has been the year of “the best teams do not usually win.”
I have a few parting shots, and then I am going to take some time off. I have a lot of irons in the fire and need to focus on some other things… but I will be back. Maybe not until 2023, but I will be back. Hopefully, the rest of the group will entertain you. They won’t post every day, but we will be open for business. Before I go, I have a few things to discuss. I would like to do that, position-by-position.
Catcher
The Dodgers are in great shape here, with Will Smith and Austin Barnes for 2023 and Diego Cartaya and Dalton Rushing on the horizon. Will Smith gets a free pass for the Padre Series because of the birth of his first child. I can see why his head might have been elsewhere. Will and Barnsie are one of the best duos in baseball.
First Base
The Dodgers should be set with Freddie Freeman for the next three or four years (yes, I know he has five more years, but the last year or so, maybe as a DH). Freddie held up his end of the deal in the postseason. Maybe next year, he will be more comfortable as a vocal leader.
Second Base
I would leave Gavin Lux here to play every day. I would trade Chris Taylor and second base belongs to Gavin. With another year under his belt, Gavin could have a “breakout” season. Jorbit Vivas is a player to watch, also. – he could be the super utility guy.
Shortstop
I think it is very likely that Trea Turner will go back East. Of the free agents out there, only Dansby Swanson has much appeal, and he is a downgrade over Trea Turner. Some think Gavin Lux can play SS, and maybe he can, but I see him as a Gold Glove Second Baseman. He has the range to play SS, but the “yips” are a worry there (you can’t wish them away). If Jacob Amaya could hit just a little, I would not be afraid of his defense. He is a baseball “gym rat” and knows the game, Bat him 9th and upgrade other places. This is not the team with Griffin and Izturis in the past.
Third Base
The Dodgers can make it known through “back channels” that they would pay Nolan Arenado more than his current contract, and it is no secret he’d like to play in LA. Buy out Justin Turner’s contract for $2 Million and sign Nolan. I have to admit that I was wrong about his hitting outside of Coors – he has been very good. Add another year to his deal, and he can play to age 37, which is how old Justin Turner is right now.
Left Field
Miguel Vargas is a good athlete with above-average speed, a good arm, and a great baseball pedigree. If he starts this winter, he can learn to become a solid left fielder by the end of Spring Training. This guy is a .300 hitter. His glove has gotten a bad rap.
Center Field
As much as I have rooted for Cody Bellinger, it is time for a change, and I am dead serious about trading for Bryan Reynolds. He is 27 years old and a switch-hitter with identical career batting averages of .281 from both sides of the plate. He is not the equal of Cody defensively, but few are. He is solid, if not spectacular. He is not on the market, and there is no reason he should be, so it will take an overpay to pry him loose. Pepiot, Busch, and Pages are a lot to pay but should get the deal done for the rebuilding Pirates.
Right Field
The Dodgers are “stuck” with Mookie Betts. I think he should spend some time with Michael Jordon and Tom Brady in the offseason. He needs to be more of a vocal leader.
Designated Hitter
Who else, Max Muncy! He is signed for 2023, and he was not the problem in the playoffs. He will hit 35 HR in 2023 and OPS .950. Write it down.
Lineup
- Betts RF (R)
- Reynolds CF (B)
- Freeman 1B (L)
- Arenado 3B (R)
- Muncy DH (L)
- Smith C (R)
- Lux 2B (L)
- Vargas (LF) R
- Amaya (SS (R)
That is a balanced, solid, good defensive lineup. I could live with that!
Pitching
As I mentioned before, I want Anderson back. I’d also like Heaney back – as a reliever. Whether he will do that remains to be seen. I think he could be an outstanding reliever. Gavin Stone should be in the rotation next year. Dustin May should be back. What’s up with Clayton? He might be back… or not. Bobby Miller, Mike Grove, and Emmet Sheehan are all possibilities in 2023.
Rotation:
- Urias
- May
- Gonsolin
- Anderson
- Stone
- Kershaw?
There are a plethora of relievers – enough for two teams. The starting pitching and the bullpen are not the issues.
See you next year!
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Discussion (75)
Disagree, not disagreeable
I was thinking overnight. If a team that won 111 games, which is nearly an all time record and IS a franchise record, can’t win the World Series then:
1 What Dodger team can win the World Series going forward?
2 Is baseball a fluke?
Let me make myself perfectly clear, I have followed the Dodgers since the 1978 World Series, so I’m going nowhere. I will always follow the Dodgers.
Mark, I really enjoyed your article today. Your title, “Just wait until next year”, sure rings a bell to us fans of the “older variety” (late 40″s, Early 50″s). Good luck with your business ventures. Thanks for starting this site and keeping it alive for 20 yrs. I don’t post much but I sure enjoy reading the posts from the many knowledgeable fans. Hopefully you’ll make an appearance on the site now and then.
I Really enjoyed following the Dodgers this year even with the disappointment of losing in the playoffs. I’ll end by saying “just wait until next year”.
Anyone know if Jose is ok?
Or did his Padre friends all beat him up Sat night?
Mark, what an excellent analysis of who’s in and who should be out. Very well thought out with excellent points. I agree with practically every thing you said.
I have had a busy morning and want to comment on some of your thoughts, but little time. Tomorrow I will.
* But I will briefly share my concerns for areas that have concerned me the most. Like the outfield since we traded Pollock. The outfield needs a housecleaning. The rest of the team just some landscaping. I don’t like a group with poor batting, huge splits, that strike out 50% of the time. Trayce Thompson got a nice chance, started well and faded. And he’s hopeless against LHP. I don’t need a big splits guy that requires 2 players to play left field. I love CT3 but it’s time for him to be elsewhere. I’m not convinced that we need a swiss army knife type player, anymore, with the DH. I would sacrifice versatility for a solid everyday player. Gallo, really? Bellinger needs a major change of scenery. We have rationalized his value long enough. There are other outfielders, perhaps in-house, that are good, if not great, defenders, who hit better than .200. And cost less then 17 million. IOt’s time to see what our valued prospects can do. I like a switch hitter and Reynolds is an interesting idea. But Bellinger can’t hit, won’t hit and costs too much for premier defense.
I want Trea Turner back but not at Seager money. No to Bogarts, Correa, and Swanson. I do not see Lux at SS. He stays at 2nd for me with Amaya getting a shot. And call me dead crazy but I would consider if Turner leaves, moving Mookie to 2nd if Lux goes to short. Betts looks bored and lifeless sometimes now. He’s lost his MOJO. A change might invigorate him. His numbers would make him a premium 2nd baseman much more than a corner outfielder. When Cartaya is ready, I look at Smith at 3rd. In the meantime, Rios is Bigfoot? JT / Muncy? Same old song there. Arenado is a great thought.
Anyway Mark, thanks for the good summary today and what you do throughout the year with this site. I enjoy sharing ideas with the fans. Enjoy you’re time away and I look forward to when you return.
My first post was right away when I first got on this website today and I didn’t read Mark’s comments up top.
Mark, good luck with everything you’re doing. I wish you the best. See you when you get back. I will still be here, because I will always follow the Dodgers. Again good luck, wish you the best.
Good assessment but a tinkerer’s approach.
I am not a Dodger fan but I live here, follow the team and think I can be unemotional about them.
This team needs an overhaul, maybe not of players but attitude. The team is built for 162 games, not for the playoffs.
They are a button-down unemotional bunch, business like and without passion. They look like an All Star team without a superstar leader.
Justin Turner is done as a threat. Trea Turner in my humble op. looks like a deer in the headlights in the playoffs. He looks nervous at bat and the usually near flawless SS, boots balls and makes throwing mistakes in big games. Let him play on a last place team and achieve HoF stats, and he’ll look great, but I don’t want him in my fox hole.
Lux looks like an OF to me. Bellinger is done and Smith is first rate behind the plate. Freeman could be the team leader but he seems a little uncomfortable doing that.
I think the Dodgers need a streaky powerhitter who can carry you thru the playoffs (Soto, or Schwarber type). Mookie is great but keep him healthy and tell him to have fun and lighten the mood.
Pitching ?, where is Bueler next year. Urias needs to be treated like an Ace and start throwing like one in big games and get to the 7th inning. Roberts loves to play games with his staff but sometimes he over manages the relievers.
And then what’s up with Doc. Like Bobby Cox he can win his Division every year but his record and decisions-making in playoffs is frankly bad. Hard to fire a HoF manager but he needs to learn the right lessons and not just overreact to last year’s wrong ones.
Last year he ruined his pitching staff esp Urias in playoffs. This year he seemed shell shocked.
The team went into the playoffs without any challenge or worry, but they also got real cold their last series against Denver and with a bye on top of that their bats never recovered. The Padres relief staff completely dominated them.
The fix?? Don’t be afraid to add some pop and enthusiasm at the trade deadline; add some players who play with emotion even if they don’t seem “Dodger Blue” types. Machado, Soto, Alvarez in Houston, Harper and Rodriguez in Seattle plus others are leaders because they seem fearless to their teammates. Mookie and Freddie are quiet leaders. Perhaps Kershaw was this type but his best days are past.
Dave needs to inject more emotion into the clubhouse; after 162 games the team is flat and lackluster.
I want to see more fire at playoff time. Maybe Dave could get mad once in awhile and let his players see his passion not just his analytical precision.
I’m hoping for a Guardians/Phillies World Series because: I hate the Yankees because they are the Dodgers World Series rivals. I hate the Astros because they cheated against the Dodgers in 2017. I hate the Padres because they knocked out the Dodgers.
If it’s a Guardians/Phillies World Series I wonder how many people in this country will even watch.
Actually, I think he makes a great argument.
As I posted earlier, over the last ten years the Dodgers have a regular season winning percentage of .613 and a playuff winning percentage of .546. Considering that the teams they played in the post season were the best regular season teams, I’m inclined to think that the Dodgers have done pretty well in the playoffs.
Like everyone, I’d like to find something to blame this fiasco and come up with a solution. I don’t think the solution is different players, coaches or front office. The solution is to have the players perform at their peak performance levels whrn the playoffs come around. Easy to say but hard to implement.
We could stay on this site for days, and most of us would have our own opinions of Roberts and the Dodgers and what went wrong. Roberts has been explaining some of his reasoning online. I saw a story a little while ago about why he brought in Almonte and then the move to Vesia. This stuff is on fannation.com if you want to look it up. Go to MLB on their index and then click on the Dodgers. Also, an article with Friedman explaining why the 111-win season is important. You have to win to get there. And the Dodgers keep giving themselves that chance. As for Roberts, I have mixed feelings about Dave. I do not think he is a bad manager; he communicates with his players really well. I just think he is a mediocre in game strategist. I think he likes playing match-up way too much and does not go with the hot hand often enough. I think he should trust his starters more than he does, and he is sometimes too slow in reacting to situations that need immediate attention. I feel his catchers should be more proactive as to giving pitchers a blow when they make several bad pitches in a row.
The facts are simple. The Dodgers lost to a team they dominated in the regular season and it was ugly. The offense was colder than a mob hit stiff on ice. They could not get the big hit when they needed it, and they left enough runners on to fill a bus. The only starter who was clean and unscored on was Anderson. Kersh, 3, Urias, 3 and Gonsolin, 1, all gave up runs. Kersh put them behind, but the offense tied it. The bullpen lost all three games. Unusual because the pen was nails most of the season. The Padre pen on the other hand was unhittable. The Dodgers normal strategy of running up the starters pitch count and then pounce on the bullpen backfired totally in this series. Now it is back to the drawing board. The team as it is constructed right now is going to need an infusion of new blood. Guys we know for certain are out of here, Price, Kimbrel, Gallo and most likely Turner. On the bubble, Alberto, Bellinger, Thompson, Taylor, JT and Muncy. Pitchers most likely not returning, Heaney, Martin, Anderson, Duffy. Hudson, Buehler, Nelson, all on the mend from major surgeries. Both of the catchers, Freeman, Lux, Betts, Vargas, all locks to be back next year. There will be movement. Bank on it. The four free agent SS give the Dodgers some choices. I think Turner goes east. The Braves retain Swanson. Bogaerts and Correa are the two most likely signable by LA> But LA fans would revolt if they signed Correa. There are several older SS available who could mentor Amaya since I do not think he will hit enough to play right away. I like Iglesias who was with the Rockies this year. Solid defender with some pop and bat to ball skills. Also a good baserunner. Would be a lot cheaper than one of the high priced spreads.