FAZ Believes Strikeouts Are The Same As Any Other Out
Do you Seriously believe that? If you really think that FAZ is really that stupid or if you believe that because it fits your own personal narrative, then you should probably stop reading right about now because what I am going to say will really piss you off! My 9 year-old grandaughter knows that moving a runner, productive outs and sacrifices are most generally better than strikeouts. Only hitting into

Do you Seriously believe that? If you really think that FAZ is really that stupid or if you believe that because it fits your own personal narrative, then you should probably stop reading right about now… because what I am going to say will really piss you off! My 9 year-old grandaughter knows that moving a runner, productive outs and sacrifices are most generally better than strikeouts. Only hitting into a double play is worse than a strikeout… unless there are no outs with a runner on 3B. Any person with half a brain knows that and even Ray Charles can see that!
Do you really think that FAZ believes it OK to have 5 players with more than 100 strikeouts? Guess what, the Red Sox had 6 players with more than a 100 strikeouts? They almost had 7 as Betts ended with 91 strikeouts. Chris Taylor and Max Muncy struck out 33% of the time. Cody Bellinger and Yasmani Grandal struck out 27% and 28% of the time respectively. Matt Kemp and Joc Pederson struck out 21% of the time. Kike Hernandez struck out 19% of the time. As a team, the Dodgers struck out 25.7% of the time (based upon at bats). Do you think FAZ is happy with that? That’s silly question…
Boston’s strikeout percentage is 22.2% as a team. JD Martinez struck out 26% of the time. Jackie Bradley struck out 29% of the time while Devers struck out 27% of the time. Benintendi struck out at about the same percentage as Kike, but it’s what he did when he didn’t strike out that changes everything. Are you starting to catch on? Yes, I would like to see the Dodgers cut down on their strikeouts… and so would Roberts, FAZ and everyone associated with the organization. However, strikeouts happen to every player. If the Dodgers cut down their strikeouts by just 10%, they would be about the same as the Red Sox. However, all of those would not be hits. Assuming the MLB average, that would have added just 36 hits to the team stats. which might have raised the batting average by 1 point… or less. It’s not just the strikeouts. It’s what they do (or don’t do) when they don’t strikeout.
Yes, I think the Dodgers should cut down on strikeouts, but it’s the bat-to-ball skills that the Red Sox do better than the Dodgers. TRANSLATION: They are better hitters! Hernandez and Benintendi strike out about the same percentage, yet Kike’s BA and OB% are considerably lower. And… while I am on this rant, why in the hell is Kike playing? Do you think it has anything to do with the fact he hit over .350 in August and September and was one of the hottest players in the NL? He has sucked in the post-season, but so have a lot of others. He might go 4-4 today.
Chris Taylor is striking out at the same rate as in the regular season, but he is hitting .300 now because he is getting more hits. Is it FAZ’ fault that the Dodgers have six players on the roster who hit .232 or below against LHP? The Dodgers were second in plate appearances this year and first in the number of pitches seen. They struck out 22.5% of the time, while the Red Sox struck out 19.8% of the time… per plate appearance. It’s not the strikeouts… it’s the hits.
The Red Sox had 9 more sacrifice flies than the Dodgers and hit into 11 more double plays than the Dodgers. That’s pretty insignificant. You just keep coming back to the fact that they hit better than the Dodgers… PERIOD! The Dodgers led baseball in walks, but the Red Sox were only 80 behind them. That’s less than 1/2 walk a game.
Realize this: The Dodgers, Astros and Red Sox are at the forefront in the use of analytics. All three teams have rooms full of analyists who comb through and analyze data… data that they all keep to themselves. They all share it with their managers and they don’t have managers who don’t buy into it. That’s part of the reason Mike Scioscia no longer manages. The use of analytics gives managers a plethora of stats, some of which are conflicting, but all of which will help you make wiser decisions that will hopefully work.
Of course, nothing works all the time. One fan may say “It was totally insane to bring in Julio Urias” while others say “Bringing in Julio was brilliant.” It is so subjective and usually depends upon your perspective. That’s why I seldom second guess. Just because it didn’t work, doesn’t mean it’s the wrong decision. However, when Roberts brings in a pitcher who gives up a run or a pinch hitter fails to execute, many often blame Doc. “His stupid moves lost the game.” When someone says “Everybody knows…. blah, blah, blah,” usually means it’s just their opinion… and opinions are like… well, you know what.
I was on the “Fire Roberts” Bandwagon for a while, but I wised up and realized that while I don’t agree with everything he does, he is one damn good manager and has the teams’ respect to a man. I heard David Freese praising him a couple of days ago. Most moves Dave has made in the first two games have not worked… but that does not mean they were the wrong moves. Players have to execute, but it’s easy to blame the manager when they don’t work. It’s human nature to want to villify someone when something goes wrong, but that’s not what we have here. It’s back to that same-old lack of hitting with RISP.
I think FAZ will attempt remedy the situation next year. Write this down: Manny Machado won’t get what many predict and the Dodgers will be players for him. JD Martinz got $110 Million. Is Machado a better hitter? Is he worth $200 million more than Martinez? I think not! He’s younger and a shortstop, but he will fall in the $200 million range. I think there will be major changes this offseason… especially if the Dodgers lose the World Series. You have to wonder what role the hitting coach plays in this. Will Turner Ward survive? The fact that the Dodgers don’t hit as a team with RISP is somewhat systemic!
I could see a scenerio whereby Pederson, Wood, Maeda, Puig, Kemp and Gandal are all gone. I can see a lineup like this:
- Verdugo RF
- Seager 2B
- Turner 3B
- Machado SS
- Bellinger 1B
- Realmuto C (I really think he should be on the Dodgers’ shopping list and they have the prospects)
- Hernandez CF
- Toles LF
Who knows what will happen, but right about now, there’s a World Series to try and win! I guarantee that FAZ is not happy and there will be changes… especially if the Boys in Blue go home without a trophy. Right about now, Striker Buehler needs to put this team on his back and show why he is the Dodgers Ace-in-Waiting!
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Discussion (213)
Disagree, not disagreeable
Ok WB, huge inning shut down inning would be huge.
Joc jam kids!!!
After that hit by Vasquez after starting the AB at 0-2, it was good to get Betts on one pitch. Still too many pitches. Dodgers need to come out of their hitting funk and SCORE.
5 inning start looking probable, everyone on this team shortens their swing.
Buehler is trying to overpower them which he can do. But this team will battle and foul off 98+ fastballs. He needs to throw more offspeed off the plate to change the look.
Nothing special from Porcello, we should be hitting this guy.
Buehler needs to get his pitch count down. If the Red Sox keep fouling off pitches like they did in the first, that’s going to be hard.
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Also like to see Dodgers put up some runs early, especially if Buehler’s innings are limited by his pitch count.
Not loud enough there, game 7 people, make some noise!!
And Manny let’s show some patience.
Walker settle in, more cutters and offspeed stuff.
I believe in Walker Buehler.
I believe we will win this game.
I believe that being down 2-1, will hurt a lot less than being down 2-0
(Unlike Joe Buck & John Smoltz) I believe that these Red Sox are not perfect and are very beatable.
And I believe that Alex Cora can and already has made mistakes in these playoffs… it just hasn’t cost him yet.
I believe Fangraphs and 538 have it about right that 1 in 10 times faced with this scenario between these two teams, The Dodgers win the Series. Well I m here to tell everyone that we are winning this thing, starting with a 5 to 3 win tonight with Jansen going 2 innings to close it out.
I’m with MJ and others here. I’d like to see Toles given a full chance to
show what he might be. He’s done very little wrong when allowed to
compete this level.
I too would love to have J.T. Realmuto. Don’t know that Verdugo would have to be part of a package, but it would certainly take more than Ruiz. But don’t think that a young, cheap catcher with lots of promise is not enticing to the Marlins. And a lot would depend on how long the Marlins think it will take them to build a contending team. To paraphrase what Branch Rickey said to Ralph Kiner, the Marlins can finish last with Realmuto or without him. Not sure what package they would accept, but I do not necessarily think it has to include Verdugo.
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But as much as I would love the Dodgers to be able to acquire Realmuto, don’t think that he doesn’t come with a few strikeouts, and he doesn’t walk all that much.
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Open on www.baseball-reference.comhttps://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/realmjt01.shtml–
No way in the world I want to see Kike’ and Toles in the Dodgers outfield next year. Kike’ does a lot of good things, but not enough for me to want him in the Dodgers lineup on a regular basis. Fact is, I think he’s done enough, that he could be included in a package that would bring the Dodgers something of value. As for Toles, I’ve never hid the fact that I simply do not have the same confidence that many others have in him. I think at best that he’s a spare outfielder, and maybe a starter for an under .500 team. Nothing more.
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So much for next year. Given my deep blue Dodger bias, I am hopeful that the Dodgers can pull-off a comeback in this series, especially since I’ve seen it 3 times in the past (’55, ’65, ’81), although I can’t really say I was totally aware of it in ’55, when I was only 9 years old (in October), and didn’t go to my first game at Ebbets Field until 1957. Do I think it will happen? Don’t have a clue, and cannot claim to be clairvoyant. Just hopeful.
Two things.
1) The Dodger will win tonight if they score more than 2 runs with Buehler pitching. He well win game #3 and Game 6 or 7.
2) The Dodgers use a left/Right lineup which has players hitting late in the game that are out of sync. The average for pinch hitters is much lower than players that start the game.
Rich
I’m just sayin’….
It would be nice to not make Joe Buck’s or John Stoltz’s day, tonight.
AC,I think you are right about Joc. He will be on the team next year and that is a huge mistake. JT and Manny have the best bat to ball skills on the team. Right behind in my opinion is Verdugo and Toles. Yet the front office and Doc do not appreciate those two. It would not surprise if one or both are traded.
Finally a professional looking lineup tonight. Mark, you aren’t getting Realmuto without giving up Verdugo. Just my opinion.
I am just casually reading through all the well thought through comments. Too tired to comment in any detail. However, in looking at all of the statistical comparisons of both teams, I wonder how much the presence of the DH in the AL makes a difference in some of the overall offensive stats of both teams.
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How about if the Dodgers could just catch a flyball. I don’t have stats to back me up but Puig should have caught Martinez ball and the number 9 guy who started the rally. He was positioned poorly and that has led to multiple runs. The Dodgers have been totally outplayed offensively, defensively, pitching, and managing and yet we were in both games. If we could just bring our A game and not beat ourselves we could win the series. It is certainly a statistical longshot but doable. We look like we have never played the game. Maybe Boston is just that good but right now I am not convinced.
L-R-L-R-L-R-L-R-R……….finally
Tonight’s Lineup:
Pederson LF
Turner 3B
Muncy 1B
Machado SS
Bellinger CF
Puig RF
Grandal C
Taylor 2B
Buehler P
What is the more difficult course of action?: winning all three in LA then taking one of two in Boston OR taking two of three in LA then winning both in Beantown.
Nothing wrong with getting into the opponent’s heads:
Open on www.espn.comhttp://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/25090984/boston-red-sox-believe-manny-machado-was-relaying-pitches-basei feel pretty good about winning tonight’s game.
Of course the Red Sox’s numbers will probably regress a little with two outs, but their numbers will probably still be higher then the Dodgers numbers, and most teams, if we don’t do better, or expect better.