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The Will Smith Era is Upon Us

I like Austin Barnes. Let me start with that. When Andrew Friedman acquired him, I was elated. In his first full season (102 games) he hit.289 with a .408 OB% and OPS ed .895. Pretty incredible! However, he hit .205 last year and is hitting .207 this year. In parts of 5 MLB seasons, here is what his BA/OB%/OPS is: 2015: .207/.361/.637 2016: .156/.270/.458 2017: .289/.408/.895 2018: .205/.329/.619 2019: .207/.302/.646 I

By Mark Timmons8 min readJump to 95 comments

I like Austin Barnes. Let me start with that. When Andrew Friedman acquired him, I was elated. In his first full season (102 games) he hit.289 with a .408 OB% and OPS’ed .895. Pretty incredible! However, he hit .205 last year and is hitting .207 this year. In parts of 5 MLB seasons, here is what his BA/OB%/OPS is:

  • 2015: .207/.361/.637
  • 2016: .156/.270/.458
  • 2017: .289/.408/.895
  • 2018: .205/.329/.619
  • 2019: .207/.302/.646

I really hate to say it, but 2017 was the outlier. Based upon that, I have to conclude that Austin Barnes cannot hit. That can be a dangerous assumption and a slippery slope, however. One only has to look as far as the 2018 World Champions who had Christian Vazquez as their main catcher. He hit .207 with a .257 OB% and OPS’ed .540. His career parallels Austin Barnes in that in 2017 he hit .290/.330/.735, but then plummeted in 2018.

This year, he is hitting .299 with 14 HR which is more HR than he hit in his first 4 years. Christian Vazquez has reached his potential after flashes in the past and big failure in 2018. Vazquez is a good catcher. Austin Barnes is a good catcher. You can never underestimate the value of a catcher upon the pitching staff. However, the fact of the matter is that Austin Barnes has hit .167 over the past 30 days, and .207 for the year.

The odd man out here might be Russ Martin because Austin Barnes can be a great backup catcher to the new Dodgers’ starting catcher, Will Smith. Russ Martin needs to go on the DL to rest his back and we need to see what Will Smith has for an extended period. He’s a rookie, but he’s 24 and it’s time. Lou Gehrig got his opportunity when Wally Pipp went down. Cody Bellinger got his opportunity when A-Gon went down (for the last time). It’s time for Will Smith to get his. By the way, Smith hit 2 more HR last night and is still OPS’ing over 1.000. It’s time!

Maybe Barnes has some value, Maybe some team, like Pittsburgh could try and re-claim Austin (Cervelli is no longer a catcher). Maybe Austin could be a small part of a package for Filipe Vasquez. I have changed my mind and I am ready to trade Ruiz, even though we may regret it later. How about trading Ruiz, Barnes, Pederson, Stripling, Carrillo, and Rios for Vasquez and Chris Archer? What?

Now, for a little outta-the-box thinking: The Dodgers next turn Archer into a high-leverage reliever. He has been an under-achiever all his career as a starter. Time for a new career path. The Pirates might actually be better THIS year with this trade… to say nothing of the future. Joc is a loss, but Beaty can platoon with Freese at 1B. This is a bold move, but bold moves can sometimes pay off. I hate losing Ruiz, but this could be a game-changer. This is an idea-starter. Unconventional to say the least and you might expect “unconventional” from Andrew Friedman.

Oh… last night’s game? What game? Move on… there is nothing to see here, folks. The team is in a slump. I told you that it would happen and here it is. Don’t lose your minds and start thinking this team is somehow woefully lacking. It’s the same team it was 6 weeks ago. Slumps happen to every team, every season, sometimes several times. It’s more expected when you have three starters back from the DL. Freese and Pollock looked more comfortable than Seager, who is more of a “rhythm player.” He has to get the “feel” back.

Corey might struggle for a while, but he has to be integrated back into the lineup. That could be a little bit painful, but the Dodgers need him at the SS position if they want to win a Championship. While we are talking about Seager, I an incredulous to hear fans talk about moving him to 2B or 3B. Why? He’s one of the best SS in baseball. Period! He’s still young and he’s an MVP candidate when healthy. With a core of Bellinger, Seager, Muncy, and Verdugo being LH, Pollock, Pederson, Freese, Taylor, and Kike are very important RH bats. CT3 has got his mojo back and Doc is trying to get Kike to find his.

We knew that Cody wasn’t going to hit .400 this year, but in his last 30 games, he is hitting .262 with a .378 OB% and slugging .598. The other teams are not pitching to him as much, but what that means to me is that he is fixing to get hot again as he has more teammates to protect him. Baseball is a game of hot and cold, streaks and slumps. Don’t lose your minds over a couple of losses. They may get swept in Boston or break out. It really doesn’t matter in the big picture.

Tonight, it’s Chicken Strip verses Chris Sale. Ross has the better ERA… go figure!

MINOR LEAGUE REPORT BY AC

Outstanding pitching outings by a pair of top 30 prospects.  Josiah Gray started for RC and went 7.0 shutout 1 hit innings, while John Rooney went 6.0 shutout 2 hit innings.  Both pitchers need to be considered for promotion.

Overall a good night for the Dodgers affiliates…9 games and 8 wins.

OKC Dodgers 6 – Memphis Redbirds 3 (Cardinals)

The Dodgers were down 3-2 going into the 9th.  Connor Joe singled to open the inning and Drew Jackson followed with a single.  After both Joe and Jackson were balked to 3rd and 2nd, and a ground out, Gavin Lux clutched up and singled in both runners to take the lead.  Lux’s single was followed by Will Smith’s 2nd HR on the game (16) for two insurance runs. 

Newly acquired Casey Sadler started and went three innings allowing 2 runs.  Brock Stewart relieved and went 5.0 innings allowing one run, and got the win.  Kevin Quackenbush pitched a scoreless 9th for his 6th save.

The Dodgers had 13 hits, including 6 with 2 each…Gavin Lux, Will Smith, Matt Beaty, DJ Peters, Kyle Garlick, and Connor Joe.

Tulsa Drillers 1 – NW Arkansas 3 (KC)

Justin DeFratus pitched a 10 hit no walk complete game in the loss.  The Drillers scored a run in the 9th to break the shutout.  Carlos Rincon and Frew Avans each had 2 hit nights.  Zach McKinstry hit his 4th triple.

RC Quakes 4 – San Jose Giants 0

In the second shutout on the evening, Josiah Gray started and went an exceptional 7.0 scoreless 1 hit innings.  Wes Helsabeck and Max Gamboa each pitched an inning to keep the shutout and victory.

In the 2nd inning, Niko Hulsizer hit his 5th double.  After a walk, Hulsizer went to 3rd on a double play ground out, and stole home for the first score of the game.  In the 3rd, Connor Wong doubled (15) and scored on a Jeren Kendall single.  In the 4th, Jeter Downs singled, stole 2nd and went to third on the throwing error by catcher Joey Bart.  Deacon Liput walked and was forced out on a fielder’s choice by Marcus Chiu.  Chiu scored on a triple by Brayan Morales (6). 

Great Lakes 7 – Cedar Rapids Kernels 0 (Twins)

John Rooney started and pitched a great 6.0 shutout innings.  He allowed 2 hits.  Guillermo Zuniga and Jasiel Alvino finished the final three shutout innings to complete the victory.  The offense was supplied by a pair of 3 run HRs by Jacob Amaya (6) and Hunter Feduccia (3), and a solo HR by James Outman (6).

Ogden Raptors 18 – Idaho Falls Chukars 1 (KC)

And yet the Raptors went off again.  This time 18 runs and 19 hits.  Kevin Malisheski started and pitched 5.0 shutout innings surrendering 3 hits and 4 walks.  Drew Finley yielded 4 walks and the sole Chukars run.  Edward Cuello pitched a scoreless 2.0 innings and 6th round draft choice pitched a perfect 9th.  The Raptors scored their 18 runs in 5 of their first 6 innings.  10th round draft choice Zac Ching had his first professional 4-hit game.  Marco Hernandez had three hits, while Justin Yurchak, Andrew Shaps, Ryan Ward, and Jimmy Titus had 2 hits each.  Shaps hit his 1st HR and 3rd double, while Ward hit his 1st triple, Brandon Wulff his 1st double, and Jimmy Titus his 3rd double.

AZL Dodgers Lasorda 13 – AZL Reds 3

Joan Valdez started and went the first 3.0 innings, surrendering all three runs.  3 Lasorda pitchers followed and pitched a spotless 6.0 innings to seal the victory.  The Lasordas scored in each of the 1st 5 innings including 4 HRs.  Aldrich De Jongh (1), Meaux Landry (2), Yunior Garcia (3), and Julio Carrion (2) supplied the thunder.  Rolando Lebron had three hits including 2 doubles (4) and Aldo Espinoza had 2 hits including his 4th double.  Edwin Mateo and Wladimir Chalo each had 2 hits.

AZL Dodgers Mota 8 – AZL Angels 4

3rd round draft pick Ryan Pepiot started his first professional game and the 4th game of the season.  He pitched 2 scoreless innings.  He has now pitched 5.0  scoreless innings in his 4 games, yielding 2 hits, 4 walks, with 10 Ks.  Jeffry Abreu followed with 4 and surrendered all 4 runs but got the win.  13th round draft choice Jacob Cantleberry pitched in his 4th game and went 1.2 innings and gave up his 1st hit in 5.0 innings.  He has also allowed 1 walk with 6 Ks. Carlos Alejo finished up for his 3rd save.

Diego Cartaya got his hitting stroke back, at least for this game, going 2-5 with his 4th double.  Justin Washington (1), Luis Diaz (3), and Imanol Vargas (8) each had doubles on the night.

DSL Dodgers Bautista 2 – DSL Rays (1) 1

4 Bautista pitchers took the hill and went 8.0 shutout innings before allowing a run in the 9th, but held on for the win.  Rafael Tua went 4.0 innings to get the win.  Luis Yan had a run scoring single in the 4th.  In the 6th, after a Jose Ramos walk, and a Harold Restituyo single moved Ramos to 3rd, Ramos scored on a sac fly.

DSL Dodgers Shoemaker 3 – DSL Cubs (1) 2

The Shoemakers got off to a 3-0 lead and held on for the 3-2 win.  Benony Robles started  and went 4.2 IP, followed by Juan De La Cruz and his 2.1 scoreless innings.  Horacio Andujar allowed single runs in the 8th and 9th to close out the victory.  The Shoemakers used 4 singles and a Marlon Cairo was the offense for the Shoemakers.

Discussion (95)

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  1. Brooklyn DodgerJuly 13, 2019

    I mentioned it last night that it didn’t seem that Kike’ hits lefthanders anymore. Looked that way his first time up tonight. And why can’t Verdugo face the tough lefty? Why not Verdugo in LF, and CT3 at 2B?

  2. 59inarowJuly 14, 2019

    Chris Sale is not long for this game at 59 pitches through 3. Belli should have taken a couple.

    Is Urias gonna piggy back this game?

  3. Jorge ValenzuelaJuly 14, 2019

    Corey Machado….I hate that stupid habit of make swing at the first pitch always !!

    BTW………Happy birthday Cody!!

  4. 59inarowJuly 14, 2019

    There you go Kike! Don’t do anything stupid on the bases.

  5. 2demeter2July 14, 2019

    Trade watch – – – Omar Estevez pulled after one at bat in Tulsa. Probably has the flu or something, but at this time of year it’s an interesting development

  6. DodgerrickJuly 14, 2019

    Joe Kelly strikes again. He’s the savior of the bullpen.

    They have been getting more innings from the starters this year for a reason.

  7. Mark TimmonsJuly 14, 2019

    Who wants to HATE on AJ Pollock again?

    I CAN’T HEAR YOU!

  8. Mark TimmonsJuly 14, 2019

    For those of you who say the Dodgers should not switch Joc Pederson to 1B during the season… witness Vazquez at 1B for Boston.

  9. Brooklyn DodgerJuly 14, 2019

    Thank goodness for my iPhone. NYC has a massive power adage, so they interrupted the game, and haven’t gone back to it. I live in Long Island, outside the city, so the outage hasn’t affected me. They’re still not going back to the game, so I’m switching to my computer.

  10. peterjJuly 14, 2019

    Let me repeat my opening salvo:

    4 game skid, yep I know, but as Bruce Springsteen would say ” The Boys are Back in Town”… Seager, Freese and A.J. once again solidifies our lineup… Having Freese and A.J around the younger guys is a bonus… Lets get this one today and go from there…

    Split on the road and win at home…

    Bad looking wheels M.T. No wonder they charged you that much!!!

  11. Saxfan3July 14, 2019

    That victory felt good, real good. You start to wonder if maybe Boston has our number, especially since Friday’s game looked a lot like last October. Finally, Boston got a taste of what NL teams receive from us on a regular basis. Bombs, bombs, and more bombs. I’m sure it’s out there, but I’m willing to wager we lead baseball in number of solo HRs. Or at least the NL.

    I’m envisioning a Sept and October run, where Verdugo, Seager, and Turner are finally locked in at the top of the batting order and suddenly, Bellinger, Muncy, and Pollocks blasts are regularly of the 2, 3, 4 run variety.

    To use an adage more commonly used in football, the best defense is a good offense. Or in our case, the best way to help our relief pitching is giving a boost to the offense, which multi-RBI homers may represent.

    I’m for staying the course. I don’t like giving up prospects, unless they’ve flatlined or are redundant. That’s certainly not the case for our top 4 prospects, where all four of them play positions that are immediately pressing or soon-to-be pressing needs. Plus, they all play the more important positions (starting pitching, catcher, potentially SS). Willie Calhoun and even Diaz didn’t really qualify on these fronts.

    I don’t like potentially weakening multiple shots at a ring, to better our shot for a single year. Too many times, the best team doesn’t win the WS, but the hottest. So, I agree with the strategy that the best way to win a WS is make sure you’re in the dance on a regular basis, and hope you catch fire. This will be our 7th consecutive invite to the dance, and we have yet to truly go nuts offensively. I think we’re due, but if not, I’d rather we not weaken our chances at a 8th, 9th, 10th, etc consecutive invite.

    That said, I think we will catch fire this year and the prospects we held onto over the last few years will lead the way. I see Bellinger going nuts with 2-3 guys regularly on base to knock runs in. I can see Verdugo leading the team in runs at the top of the order. I see Urias basically being what Eovaldi was for Boston last year. I can see Will Smith and Joc Pederson getting some crucial pinch hits. I can see Walker Buehler winning the deciding game.

  12. SCDodgerFanJuly 14, 2019

    Last night with Freeze on second & Bellinger batting, Freeze didn’t go to third on a pitch all the way to the backstop. That cost Belly an RBI as he flied out plenty deep enough to score Freeze from third which is where he should have been.

  13. WILLIAM E BERGMANNJuly 17, 2019

    We still need bullpen help!

    What bothers me is that too many of these guys come into the game looking as though they expect to lose. Scott Alexander is an example. He looks frightened all the time. Jansen performs usually, but even he doesn’t appear to care much about what will happen. We need a guy with a killer instinct oozing from every pore!

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