The Best is Yet to Come
2018 has been a season full of challenges and in no small part, the challenges were created initially by the decision the Dodgers made (and still denied by them) to not exceed the Luxury Tax Threshold ( LTT ). Many fans don t agree with the decision, but on every level, except my RFL ( Rabid Fan Level ), I agree with it. I actually thought they would get below it in 2017, but it

2018 has been a season full of challenges and in no small part, the challenges were created initially by the decision the Dodgers made (and still denied by them) to not exceed the Luxury Tax Threshold (“LTT”). Many fans don’t agree with the decision, but on every level, except my RFL (“Rabid Fan Level”), I agree with it. I actually thought they would get below it in 2017, but it happened a year later than I expected. And… here we are. The Dodgers righted the ship after early struggles and even injuries to the pitching staff didn’t slow them down… until Kenley Jansen went on the DL.
Since that happened, the Dodgers’ bullpen has been saddled with three straight losses and and everyone is losing their minds because FAZ should have saw this coming and signed certain other unnamed relievers. Some say that FAZ “doesn’t value relievers,” which is preposterous. They valued Kenley Jansen and opened the vault for him. They just won’t overpay a reliever knowing full well that many are tremendously inconsistent. There may be an inverse correlation between what relievers are paid and their actual value. Some of the best bullpens in recent times have been built without large expenditures.
The Dodgers bullpen has not been good and it is now overexposed without Kenley Jansen, but they have had their moments. All we know is that Jansen will be out until at least next Monday, when he will be re-examined by a cardiologist. The pennant could be lost in that period, but I doubt it – help is on the way, in the form of Alex Wood, Hyun-Jin Ryu and Julio Urias. Wood and Ryu will be back this week, and by Wednesday, the bullpen will look vastly different. I have been saying that this team is built for the playoffs and I still believe that – I also know that they have to get there first!
Losing Kenley Jansen was a shock and maybe the only player the Dodgers could not replace, but I saw something the past two days with John Axford that gave me pause. He’s worth watching and I was surprised to see him almost hit triple digits… with a lot of movement. He has closers experience and maybe Honeycutt helped him find a few MPH and movement. I am not predicting Axford will be the closer, but after a horrid first game, he has literally been Light’s Out and Eye-Popping! Stranger things have happened.
At any rate, Kenta Maeda and Ross Stripling are headed to the bullpen as Wood and Ryu move back into the rotation. There will likely be some bumps in the road as they get their mojo back. Moving Maeda and Stripling will immediately help, but this will be a process. Machado and Kemp have been ice cold. That will change, just like Pederson, Bellinger and Muncy heated up. Kenley will likely be back and so will Julio Urias. This is a team built for the Post-Season.
Starters:
- Kershaw
- Buehler
- Hill
- Ryu
Bullpen:
- Ferguson
- Urias
- Axford
- Floro
- Alexander
- Wood
- Maeda
- Stripling
- Jansen
The Dodgers may or may not carry 13 pitchers in the Post-Season, but Baez, Vinditte, Chargois, Fileds, Cingrani, Rosscup, Liberatore and others likely won’t be a part of it.
My prediction is that the Dodgers will hang on and win the division in Sepetember – they could even be a few games behind by then, but Machado, Dozier, Kemp, Turner, Puig, Bellinger and Company will get it together. It might be a bumpy ride – hide all sharp objects and stay out of high buildings. The sky is not falling and it will be OK. By the playoffs, the bullpen will be a Dodger strength.
By the way, there are two chances the Dodgers will DFA Matt Kemp: None and Never! The guy is in a slump, but his OPS is still .808 and he is hitting .283 with 17 HR and 66 RBI. Two on the NL’s best hitters went through even worse slumps. Matt Carpenter and Paul Goldschmidt were even worse for a lot longer… until they figured it out. I am sure that IF he were injured the Dodgers would give him a rest. If not, he will be fine.
I do know this: Dozier and Machado and Turner and Puig and Bellinger should only sit if they are tired. Forget the matchups. The good ones figure it out! Right about now, the key word is Don’t Panic!
More from Dodger Talk

Dodgers Food Trailer
I did this interview a couple of weeks ago with Chef Mike, who runs the Dodgers Food Trailer for the Great Lakes Loons. They are there for every home and road regular season and playoff game. They prepare three meals a day for approximately 50 people (players and coaches). Since games end late most evenings, they do not prepare breakfast. Many of their hotels have a complimentary breakfast anyway. However,…

Meet LAD 2026 Draft Picks 1-12
3 picks were High School players (2 SS and 1 OF). There was a college OF, college catcher, college SS, and 10 college pitchers. Of all the talk for a need for a catcher, the only catcher the Dodgers selected was Luke Bard, son of LAD bullpen coach Josh Bard. Bard was a 4th year senior from Houston Christian University. He is not a prospect, so the Dodgers are still…

Interview with Paul Beachy – Team Bus Driver For The Great Lakes Loons (LA Dodgers Minor League Team)
It’s been a few days since I did this interview. We have evidently been working my son-in-law (the video guy) like a rented mule at US Water Systems. However, I am taking him to London with me in a few days, so maybe Watford will buy him a pint as a tip, but he’s a dang Red Sox fan, so there is that! I thought that it would be interesting…

Thanks for Your Service: Chris Taylor
I was going to do this post when Chris announced he was retiring, then he changed his mind, but since the chances of him ever playing for the Dodgers again are slim and non-existent, I will go ahead with this post. He unretired, went on the IL, then decided to call it quits on May 24th. Taylor was born in Virginia Beach VA on August 29th, 1990. He attended Great…

Discussion (91)
Disagree, not disagreeable
Click your heals 3 times and say “there’s no place like home’ and beat the snot outta mad bum! Bout time for a sweep to recharge the batteries and put these Dodgers in a killer mentality. Enough of getting lackadaisical following small rally bursts. Go for the throat and do it again! Simply god is not good enough. Time to be great. Is that too much to ask for or expect? It wasn’t in 88! Show us!
I am not sure how you have an organizational philosophy to not extend your pitchers late in games and limit innings at every turn and then not value relief help more.
AC’s assessment of the FAZ era relievers is spot on, why they did not take a 7 million dollar flyer on Watson is beyond me. I realize they thought they had a duplicate in Cingrani but with volitility of all relievers they should have signed him, the money was there at the time.
For all that FAZ has done well, they have done only average in the relief area. In fact in some areas of pen building they have failed miserably, AC addressed it and that is carrying bums too long( Hatchet and El Gasolino come to mind. They should have been taking out of Robert’s hands much earlier.
Mark solid post above but I disagree about Kemp. I have little confidence he will break out of his slump. I think he should be put on the dl for 10 days to reset and Verdugo brought up, he is better offensively and defensively right now. The timing could not be better with the amount of lefties we are facing this week. Bring back Kemp in 10 days and hope he can find his swing again, if not provide minimal at bats when the rosters expand and DFA him in the fall. Even when he was carrying us there were troubling signs, an unsustainable BABIP, an abysmal walk rate, and an inability to hit sliders consistently. Finally, on Kemp, has he put on weight again or is that just the camera adding 10 pounds?
We need to get hot and Roberts needs to get into these guys a bit. If I have to hear another “the intent” is there postgame speech from Roberts I am going to throw up. I don’t like Roberts but I realize he is likely towing the company line most of the time. Mark or AC can you confirm how much of his moves are his own and how many are completely FAZ influenced? Is the matchup game regardless of how a hitter is hitting completely FAZ or more Roberts or both? I hate to see hot hitters rested as I believe hitters need rhythm and thrive when they are in rhythm. However this team has won a lot of games doing it there way so who am I to criticize,, I do wonder if players really like the organizational philosophy of matchups and rest,Mark or AC?
My final rant, which has already been talked about, is the bull shit about not extending Ferguson one more inning on Saturday to protect him. What a joke. He could have been run out there another inning without consequence. How did kid gloves work with Urias? There has to be some ability for Roberts to divert from these pre determined pitcihing plans based on need and the eye test.
Also, one final note on Saturday, if Roberts was mixing and matching based solely on numbers, Chargois should have been lifted when McMahon came up as he has been pounded by lefties in 2018. Rosscup or Axford should have been in.
Well go blue, need to get rolling, and no better series or team to do it against. This is the first game I actually agree batting Kike’ in the four hole against lefties, please continue to own Bumgarner my friend.
I got nothing. Let’s beat SF tonight
Fun article about Dozier in The Athletic:
Open on theathletic.comhttps://theathletic.com/470042/2018/08/13/doubt-brian-dozier-and-he-will-prove-you-wrong/I respectfully disagree with your assessment that FAZ values relievers. Paying Kenley Jansen who was the ONLY pitcher in the Dodgers organization who could close, was simply recognizing that they needed a closer. Every contending team needs a competent closer. Jansen was the best.
.
Chris Hatcher, Juan Nicasio, Joel Peralta, Yimi Garcia, Pedro Baez, JP Howell, Jim Johnson, Adam Liberatore, Ian Thomas, Luis Avilan, Sergio Santos, Bud Norris, Louis Coleman, Casey Fien, Nick Tepesch, Grant Dayton, Jesse Chavez, Josh Fields, Josh Ravin, Tony Cingrani, Wilmer Font, Erik Goeddel, Daniel Hudson, JT Chargois, Dylan Floro, John Axford, Zac Rosscup, Pat Venditte. These are the relievers that have trotted out to the mound as members of the Dodgers during the FAZ era. Which one of these are competent late inning high leverage relievers? Middle relief? Sure, but certainly not late inning high leverage. The bullpen was so good in 2017 that they had to go out and trade for Tony Watson and Tony Cingrani who were used extensively down the stretch.
.
I excluded Brandon Morrow and Tony Watson, two good late inning high leverage relievers the Dodgers chose not to sign. Not signing Morrow was somewhat understandable as he wanted to close and got a 2 year $21MM contract. That understanding was countered when Logan Forsythe’s option at $9M was exercised. Losing Tony Watson because of a 2 year $7MM contract tells me how they value late inning high leverage relievers. Farhan made it quite clear that he believed that the loss of Morrow and Watson would be more than offset by Garcia and Cingrani. How did that work out? Value good relief? Then why is Baez still on the roster (and I am talking about the 40 man)? Why did it take so long to move Hatcher?
.
FAZ values competent late inning high leverage relief so much that they have to p___ off two starters to move into relief and hope that a 22 year old with major shoulder surgery who has not pitched in 15 months can come back and be a difference maker in a pennant race. Maeda and Strip will make the transition, but please do not expect them to be happy about it. It is probably going to cost Maeda $1.5MM. They value relief so much that their best reliever is a 22 year old starter who is one year removed from the California League. I am still hoping that Alexander will be a good late inning guy, but how is his confidence now after being pulled in his first real closing effort to be replaced with a waiver wire pitcher? Even Baez doesn’t get that treatment.
.
I do not think they value relievers. I think they want to surround Kenley Jansen with 20 middle relievers between LA and OKC and hope one will emerge. Joe Blanton did 2 years ago. Brandon Morrow bailed them out last year, but only because he had an opt out if he was not recalled by June 1. They had no idea what they had. As good as Strip has been as a starter, just how good is he going to be in a late inning role on back to back days? Maeda was good last post season, but will he be able to back to back days. Or back to back to back as Jensen has had to do?
.
It may work out, but it will not be because FAZ values relief. It will be because they needed starters to replace the relievers they did have.
.
When Ryu comes back this week, someone will need to be removed from the 40 man. I expect Rob Segedin to get his release.
We must gave been looking at a different pitcher. Axford did hit 99, and was consistently in the mid to upper 90’s. But I didn’t see the movement you’re talking about, and towards the end of his outing there were some hard hit outs. Hope I’m wrong, but Axford is not someone I am counting on.
Thank you M.T. attempting to produce a calming effect!!! I never like to enter the fray when the villagers are wandering thru the streets with torches in hand…
Machado is and never was a mistake… He’s in a slump…
My guess is Doc is back in 2019… Adding Honeycutt to any of the whining and gnashing of teeth was plain stupid…
Maeda n Strip, maythe baseball gods be with you and lets get something rolling…