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Some Random Thoughts on the Passing Season

While sitting here in my recliner, remote in hand, watching the Dodgers-Red Sox, I have some random thoughts on the passing season (with apologies to Thomas Sowell): • First, and foremost, it is important for all of you to know that I have not made a single mistake in the past 5 10 years as to Dodger in-game decisions, lineups they should have used, and as to trades

By Mark Timmons10 min readJump to 86 comments

While sitting here in my recliner, remote in hand, watching the Dodgers-Red Sox, I have some random thoughts on the passing season (with apologies to Thomas Sowell):

•           First, and foremost, it is important for all of you to know that I have not made a single mistake in the past 5 – 10 years as to Dodger in-game decisions, lineups they should have used, and as to trades they should or should not have made.  Not wanting to boast, but it’s an amazing record if I have to say so myself.  Of course, every one of those decisions was made in hindsight and no one, except for me knew what I was thinking at the time the decisions were made in real-time.  It surprises me though, that the Dodgers do not appear to have any interest in utilizing my remarkable services.  

•           Despite all the claims that he calls all the shots, I have yet to see Andrew Friedman in the dugout during any games.   I also have not observed Dave Roberts being handed any notes during the games or taking any phone calls. 

•           Joc Pederson has been a frustrating player for me.  When drafted, I was very excited when he signed, foregoing a scholarship to USC.    His minor league performance just added to the thrill.   I thought he would be the second coming of Duke Snider, if not, at least Don Demeter.  He exhibited great bat to ball skills, could hit with power, and steal bases.   But alas, he has to date, fallen short of those expectations.    His performance and ability have been discussed on this blog endlessly.   Then came the Home-run Derby and my oh my what a performance he put on!   It was absolutely epic!! I was so proud of him representing the Dodgers.   On top of that watching Clayton Kershaw’s adorable daughter Cali, lead Team Pederson with chants of “Let’s go Joc!” was the best.  What a moment!   Then comes Friday and it’s back to reality, as Joc sits in the first two games against the Red Sox.   

•           The All-Star game reminded me of how nice it is to have a solid, dominant, reliever, on whom you can rely in the late innings.  Ardolis Chapman, warts and all, was absolutely lights out.   That said, I do believe the Dodgers will obtain a reliever or two in the next two weeks.   Will Smith seems like the obvious choice, but he is going to be in high demand and some team will overpay to get his services.  Felipe Vasquez seems to be the flavor of choice currently, but I just can’t envision a scenario whereby Pittsburgh trades him.      

•           What is to be done with Austin Barnes?   He looks lost at the plate and, from my view, seems to be pressing more and more.    Dave Roberts is on record saying that he is confident that Barnes can snap out of his current slump.    I like the thought of giving Will Smith the opportunity.   It becomes a simple question for me, who would I rather have hitting in the bottom of the 9th of game 7 in the WS, bases load and 2 outs?   Barnes?  Martin?   Smith?   Of course, I’ll give you my answer after it happens.    Hindsight you know.  

•           David Freese is a special kind of player.  His days as a full-time player are over.   However, in a part-time role, he has given the Dodgers a whole lot more than we could have ever expected.   I’m hoping he doesn’t collapse before season’s end.   

•           Kike is another player that I find frustrating.   At times he looks like a star in the making.  Albeit those times are few and far between.  Many have called for him to be traded.   If he is traded, who takes over Kike’s role as a multi-positional player?    I personally believe that Gavin Lux could give us better overall production at 2B.    I just don’t know if it’s this year or next.  

•           I’m not sure why we the Dodgers would want to move Seager off of shortstop.   He is very good there.   Sure, give him rest now and again, but keep him put otherwise.  

•           Justin Turner is getting older and it is showing some in his at-bats.   I hope he can muster up one more outstanding half to lead us to the WS.    When on, he makes a world of difference and makes everyone around him better. 

•           Do we really need another power-hitting right-hand bat to platoon with Joc in left field?   I’m not so sure that Nick Castellanos or Trey Mancini would provide a significant upgrade over what we already have.   Despite it being a small sample size, D.J. Peters’ performance in AAA is very encouraging.   As Vin would say, “his power is prodigious!”   Perhaps he can be an in-house answer as opposed to being trade bait.  

•           A Pollock/Verdugo center field rotation for the next several years makes me feel very comfortable. 

•           Bellinger is a great young player.   I think the best of him is yet to come.   That said, Cody has not won the MVP trophy yet.    As good as he is, I find myself not enjoying the “MVP” chants that rain down every time he comes to the plate.   Let’s wait towards the end of the season and see where he is then.   Moreover, if Bellinger doesn’t win the MVP, I’m absolutely okay with that.   I would be extremely happy with a .325 avg, 200 hits, 45 home runs; 125 RBI and 120 runs, and an OPS close to 1.100.   MVP or no, that’s a very good year

•           Same is true for the CY Young award.   Ryu hasn’t won it yet, and might not.   If he ends the season with a 17 – 5 record and a 2.10 era, who on this blog would not be happy that he chose to accept the qualifying offer?  

•           Same can be said for Walker Buehler.  If he finishes with a similar record as Ryu, with a 3.00 era, who here would not be ecstatic?   

•           Alex Verdugo will probably not win the Rookie of the Year award.   Once again, it doesn’t matter.   If he finishes with a .300 avg, 18 home runs; 75 RBI and 70 runs and produce a 5.0 to 6.0 WAR, I’ll gladly take him over the Pete Alonso, power notwithstanding, any day of the week. 

•           I don’t know when I have been as excited about the Dodger prospects as I have this year.  I was too young to pay attention during the Garvey, Cey, Valentine and Lopes years.  I was excited when the Dodgers had the Jacksonville Five (Martin, Billingsly, LaRoche, Guzman, and  Broxton).   Gone, for the time being, are the days that we would hope Jerry Sands and Blake DeWitt (and I mean them no disrespect, as they were good players), might turn out to be something special.   Lux, Smith, May, K. Ruiz, Peters, Gonsolin, White, Downs, Cartaya, Gray, A. Jackson, Amaya, Uceta, Ortiz, etc., and the newly drafted players are very fun to follow. 

•           I was very excited about the Dodgers draft this year and particularly liked the players they were able to sign on the last couple of days.   If AC, DC, or MT don’t beat me to it, my next post will be about the players signed and what we can reasonably expect from them as to their ceilings and floors so to speak. 

•           I don’t know about the rest of you folks, but I sincerely appreciate everything that Mark T., AC and DC do for this blog.   I read this blog every day.   My work keeps me from being able to comment each day.   Because of their efforts, and in like fashion the readers and those that comment regularly, I always learn something new and I’m constantly stimulated in thought by their posts.   Thank you, gentlemen, your efforts do not go unnoticed or unappreciated.    

I end this post with 3 random thoughts that I borrowed(and slightly altered) from Thomas Sowell,  one of my favorite all-time commentators:

•           One of the problems with being a pessimist is that you can never celebrate when you are proven right.  

•           The best New Year’s Resolution I ever made was to stop trying to reason with unreasonable people. That may be especially valuable during baseball trading season.  

•           The old are not really smarter than the young, in terms of sheer brainpower.   It is just that we have already made the kinds of mistakes that the young are about to make, and we have already suffered the consequences that the young are going to suffer if they disregard the record of the past.

2Demeter2’s Minor League Lowdown!

OKC had the day off .

Tulsa Drillers beat the NW Ark. Naturals:   9-2

Good offensive day for the Drillers as they pounded out 17 hits.   They were led in the hitting department by Drew Avens and Carlos Santana, who each had 3 hits.  Avens had 3 RBI and Santana chipped in with 2 RBI.   Cody Thomas, Errol Robinson, Jared Walker, and Logan Landon each had 2 hits.  The only extra-base hits were doubles by Avens and Santana.    Jordan Sheffield started and pitched 1 inning, allowing 1 run on 1 hit and 2 walks.   He also struck out 2.   Parker Curry followed and had a nice outing pitching 5 innings, allowing but a single run on 4 hits and 1 walk.  He struck out 4.   Ryan Moseley threw 2 nice scoreless innings, allowing 1 hit, 1 walk, and striking out 3.   Yordy Cabrera finished the night throwing a clean inning, striking out 1.  

RC Quakes lost to the Stockton Ports:   6-0

No offense for the Quakes yesterday, as they were only able to muster three hits, one each by Donovan Casey, Devin Mann and Deacon Liput.   Leo Crawford was the starting pitcher and he worked 5 innings, allowing 2 runs on 7 hits, 1 walk, and 8 strikeouts.   Bryan Warzek followed and had a forgetTable out, as he allowed 4 runs on 2 hits and 2 walks in 0.2 innings.   He was followed by Conner Strain and Darien Nunez, who each pitched 1.2 innings of scoreless ball.   Nunez registered 3 strikeouts.   

Great Lake Loons beat the Peoria Chiefs: 9-8 

Classic pitchers duel.   The offensive stars for the Loons was Leonel Valera, who went 3-3, with a home run, 2 RBI and 2 runs scored;  Hunter Feduccia walked 3 times, hit a home run and scored twice.  James Outman and Luke Heyer also homered, with Heyer chipping with 3 RBI and 2 runs scored.   Stephen Kolek started and had a rough night keeping the Chiefs off base.  He allowed 11 hits, 2 walks, and 6 runs in 4 innings.  He did strike out 6.   He was followed by Zach Willeman who pitched a solid, but wild 3.1 innings, allowing 1 run on 1 hit and 5 walks while striking 1.   Justin Hagenman got the save, pitching 1.2 innings, allowing 1 run on 3 hits, no walks while striking out 2. 

Side story (forgive me if this was previously posted), but the other night, Jacob Amaya followed in his late grandfather, Frank Amaya’s, footsteps.  Amaya hit a 3‑run home run in Cedar Rapids while going 2‑4, with 3 RBI.  His grandpa, Frank Amaya, played for Cedar Rapids in 1957 which was a Brooklyn Dodgers affiliate at that time.   How cool is that?   Amaya’s grandfather, also a shortstop, was in the Brooklyn Dodgers organization starting in 1955.  He died the year before Amaya was drafted by the Dodgers. 

Ogden Raptors defeated the Missoula Osprey:   17-11

Another pitchers’ dual.    The Raptors jumped out to a quick 7-2 lead by the 3rd inning, but held on for the victory.   The offensive star was Joe Vranesh who went 4-6, with 2 home runs, 5 rbi and 2 runs scored.   Justin Yurchak chipped in with his 8th homerun and Sam McWilliams added his 7th on the season.  Brandon Lewis and McWilliams had 3 hits apiece and Ryan Ward added 2 hits.   As you could imagine, not much pitching in this game, with only Corey Merrill and Reza Aleaziz having any success.   Merrill threw 1.2 scoreless innings in relief and Aleaziz pitched the final two innings allowing no runs, no hits, with 2 walks and 2 strikeouts.   The Raptors have won 12 of their last 19, have a 7 game winning streak and have outscored their opponents 82-29 during those 7 games.   The Raptors have an eight-game lead in their division, with 10 to play. 

AZL Mota Lost to the AZL Royals:   8-0

Kody Hoese and Alex DeJesus each had 2 hits, but that was pretty much it for the offense.  Julien Smith started and continued his struggles as he seeks to return from his arm injuries and surgery.  He pitched 2 innings, allowing 5 runs on 9 hits and 3 walKS.  2019 draftees Cyrillo Watson and Zack Plunkett each followed with scoreless innings, keeping their ERA’s at 0.00.  Plunkett, who played catcher in college, struck out 2 in his inning. 

AZL Lasorda lost to the AZL Mariners:   5-3

Edwin Mateo and Jorbit Vivas each had 2 hits, with one of Mateo’s hits being a double.  Michael Busch served as the DH and went hitless.  He has yet to register his first professional hit.  Carlos Duran started and allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in 3 innings.  He also walked 1 and had 3 strikeouts.  Let’s not be too harsh on the young man though, he is only 17 and this is his 1st year in the USA. He is still 6’7″ and weighs 230.  He’s a big boy who has lots of projection.  Franklin De La Paz followed with a scoreless inning and Juan Morillo pitched the final 3.1 scoreless innings in relief, striking out 6.

Discussion (86)

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  1. Mark TimmonsJuly 15, 2019

    DODGERS RECALL RHP CASEY SADLER

    LHP ZAC ROSSCUP DESIGNATED FOR ASSIGNMENT

    LOS ANGELES – The Los Angeles Dodgers today recalled right-handed pitcher Casey Sadler from Triple-A Oklahoma City and designated left-handed pitcher Zac Rosscup for assignment. Sadler will wear number 65.

    Sadler, 29, joined Los Angeles on July 3 from Tampa Bay in exchange for right-handed pitcher Nathan Witt. He made two appearances for Oklahoma City prior to the promotion, firing six innings and allowing four runs. On the season, he is a combined 1-1 with a 3.26 ERA (14 ER/38.1 IP) in 13 games for Durham and Oklahoma City. Sadler is in his fourth Major League season, accumulating a 1-1 record with 4.38 ERA (19 ER/38.0 IP) in 18 career games.

    Rosscup, 31, appeared in seven games for the Dodgers, tossing three innings, allowing two runs with four strikeouts. On the season, he is a combined 2-0 and a 5.00 ERA (10 ER/ 18.0 IP) with Seattle, Toronto and Los Angeles.

  2. DodgerBlueMomJuly 15, 2019

    Any more news on Taylor? Good to see the minor league promotions and wish them all success going forward.

  3. BellingerBuehlerJuly 15, 2019

    Today’s starters, if you replaced Hernandez with Freese (moving Muncy to 2B) and replaced Barnes with Smith would be the perfect 8 vs right handers IMO.

  4. Mark TimmonsJuly 15, 2019

    You NEVER know what you are going to get with a reliever.

    Jim Johnson had a 2.25 ERA before LA = 10.00+ after.

    Shane Greene had a 5.12 ERA last year. This year he is 1.06 and no one can hit him.

    Did I mention that you NEVER know?

  5. Mark TimmonsJuly 15, 2019

    Tonight’s Lineup:

    1. Pederson LF

    2. Verdugo CF

    3. Turner 3B

    4. MVP RF

    5. Mad Max 1B

    6. Seager SS

    7. Kike 2B

    8. Barnes last game C

    9. The Ace P

  6. IdahoalJuly 15, 2019

    The dodgers are loaded with good catchers. With all that movement maybe Smith is on his way up.

    I just hope Joc will have a good second half.

  7. Mark TimmonsJuly 15, 2019

    DODGERS RECALL OF MATT BEATY

    INFIELDER CHRIS TAYLOR PLACED ON IL

    LOS ANGELES – The Los Angeles Dodgers today recalled outfielder Matt Beaty and placed infielder Chris Taylor on the 10-day injured list with a left forearm fracture.

    Beaty, 26, returns for his fourth stint with the Dodgers. In 37 games with the team, he is slashing .278/.297/.407 with two homers and 17 RBI. With Oklahoma City, he was batting .303 (36-for-119) three homers and 19 RBI in 31 games.

    Taylor, 28, left last night’s game after being hit by a pitch in the left wrist. The initial x-rays were negative, but further imaging revealed a fracture. The former Virginia Cavalier has played in 90 games for the Dodgers, batting .261 (68-for-261) with eight homers and 41 RBI. In his six Major League seasons, he has slashed .262/.331/.438 with 47 homers and 193 RBI in 505 games.

  8. TherealtenJuly 16, 2019

    Good to see the Dodgers win 2 of 3 in Boston. Baez was obviously tipping pitches I could see that from my tv. Tough break with Taylor who was playing very good. Seager has never a pitch he didn’t like. I noticed some other dodgers going out of the strike zone but Corey is the worst. Kershaw being kershaw, wild pitches, homerun, slider only pitch he has, plus back to back errors driving pitch count up. Anybody who thinks kershaw is our playoff starter is thinking with their heart. You can’t pitch in the big leagues with just a slider. His curve comes and goes, his fb average at best. Barnes sucking again tonight bring Smith up. The Boston bullpen looked a lot deeper than ours. I know their stats are bad but they looked good last night. Jansen looked very good.

    Ryu pitched very good but was better than his line. That first inning our defense was fumbling, stumbling etc. several ground balls that should have been dps but Ryu kept his composure. Kike is totally lost. Joc with homerun derby hangover. Oh no I hope there is nothing to that. This bullpen cannot win a World Series. Good call on Rosscup.

    The Dodgers have a fantastic team. It can be a great team with bullpen and catcher improvement. Random thoughts ok Dodgers up 5-1 go blue!

  9. dodgerrickJuly 16, 2019

    Wow – this is the kind of inning that you didn’t see the Dodgers have often last season – to score a run on a double steal that included home. I really like this team (except the bullpen).

  10. Brooklyn DodgerJuly 16, 2019

    Good to see Seager get that hit. Nice hustle too. Maybe this gets him going.

  11. Brooklyn DodgerJuly 16, 2019

    For get about Smith. Barnes is getting hot. 🙂

  12. 59inarowJuly 16, 2019

    Might as well let Sadler pitch in this game. See what he has.

  13. HawkeyedodgerJuly 16, 2019

    For the Roberts haters remember we could have had Kapler. I for one was happy they didn’t hire him. I may criticize Doc for his handling of the WS but I’m grateful they hired him over Kapler.

  14. James YoheJuly 16, 2019

    Sowell, 2dmeter, try reading Mises. Mises.org

  15. Always CompeteJuly 16, 2019

    For those that referred to Austin Barnes as a black hole, I guess he had a good night, and their assessment might be a bit premature. For those that have called Kike’ a loser, I guess the same holds true. Maybe Will Smith is a better choice than Barnes, then again maybe not. But to refer to the primary catcher on the winningest team in MLB as a black hole is a little over the top. The same with Kike’. Now with CT3 on the IL, I guess Kike’ is going to be needed.

    I do not expect the Dodgers to roll off 8-10 offensive games like today. But they are capable of it including Barnes and Kike’. The team needs two high leverage bullpen pieces, but not anything else. There is nothing that I see whereby the team is improved over what the current 12 position players are that can come close to the cost. I know many out there want to trade Joc.

    Jose Abreu – 32 – .816 OPS – 1.0 WAR – $16MM – FA next year

    Nick Castellanos – 27 – .803 OPS – 1.1 WAR – $9.95MM – FA next year

    Trey Mancini – 27 – .840 OPS – .8 WAR – $576K – 3 years more control

    Joc Pederson – 27 – .851 OPS – 1.6 WAR – $5MM – 1 year more control

    You want to trade Joc straight up for any of the above? I would not.

    The team is 20-12 against LHP. Not great, but not as bad as most make it out to be.

    .255/.335/.445/.780 vs. LHP

    .265/.346/.475/.821 vs. RHP

    Again, metrics against LHP not overwhelming, but not as bad as many like to make it out to be.

    RISP – .267/.363/.452/.814

    RISP 2/2 out – .250/.370/.430/.800

    .800 OPS with RISP is more than acceptable, especially with the starting pitching the Dodgers have. This team is primed to be the best team in MLB. With two additional high leverage relievers, there should not be any question. I know Mark always wants to point out how fickle relievers are, but if the Dodgers cannot do better than Scott Alexander, Casey Sadler, JT Chargois, Dylan Floro, then they are not trying to.

  16. Mark TimmonsJuly 16, 2019

    The Red Sox won with catchers that were all worse batting than Barnes last year. I am all for an upgrade, but it’s silly to think you can just “plug-in” Smith and everything will be fine. It doesn’t work that way. Buehler and Urias may not care but I guarantee that Clayton, Rich and Hyun-jin would not like switching catchers at this juncture… unless it were absolutely necessary… and it’s not.

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