Keith Law's Top 100 Prospects
I have been a fan of Keith Law since he started as a baseball writer 20 years ago. Before that, he worked in the front office of the Toronto Blue Jays. He graduated from Harvard and Carnegie Mellon Universities. Law blends sabermetrics and scouting into public analysis…
I have been a fan of Keith Law since he started as a baseball writer 20 years ago. Before that, he worked in the front office of the Toronto Blue Jays. He graduated from Harvard and Carnegie Mellon Universities. Law blends sabermetrics and scouting into public analysis, especially in prospect evaluation, draft coverage, trades, and advanced metrics. Law’s voice matters because he straddles analytics and traditional baseball culture, pushing for evidence-based evaluation while engaging with fans, front offices, and media — often generating spirited debate about prospects, metrics, and how the game is understood in the 21st century. I have always valued Keith laws opinions very highly.
With that intro, let’s now look at his annual TOP 100 PROSPECT LIST as it relates to the Dodgers:
#9 – Eduardo Quintero – A RH Juan Soto… only a better defender.
#20 – Josue DePaula – One of the best approaches at the plate and will likely stay in the OF.
#36 – Zyhir Hope – Incredible athlete with amazing bat speed.
#51 – Mike Sirota – Solid regular floor – All-Star Ceiling.
#55 River Ryan – At least a #2 starter… maybe a #1. The only knock on him is that he is 27.
#65 – Emil Morales – A 30+ HR hitting 3B!
#87 – Alex “Freaking” Freeland – He would be a regular on at least 25 teams right now.
Keith Law has the Dodgers with seven Top 100 Prospects. Count ’em, 7!
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Discussion (50)
Disagree, not disagreeable
I agree with a lot of that…. except the last one. If you reduce the control time, you will reduce the amount invested into prospects, and this will hurt the lower-revenue teams more than teams like the Dodgers.
Right now you could name the 12 teams that will make the October playoff tournament based on the additions that were made in the offseason: NL 1.Dodgers 2.Phillies 3.Braves4.Mets 5. Cubs 6. Brewers AL 1 Blue Jays 2.Red Sox 3.Yankees 4. Tigers 5. Mariners 6. Rangers Anyone like to comment on their choices.
Pirates have to be good eventually, right? Honestly, Seattle might have the 2nd best org in baseball.
Orioles could squeeze out the Rangers.
The Brewcrew! Rays are run incredibly well too IMO.
NL: Dodgers, Phillies Brewers WC: AZ, Braves, SD
With exception of the last two points, which directly benefit the fanbase and the players, respectively, my issue with the remaining points is that it penalizes teams who find creative ways to increase revenue. Ultimately, that is the biggest issue at hand. The Dodgers high payroll is a byproduct of their efficient revenue generating strategy. What is not being discussed is whether “low revenue” teams have done enough to increase their revenue streams. I realize the LAD are a major market team, but I believe that this ownership group would find ways to make money even if they took over the Marlins, per se. I struggle with the idea of imposing harsher penalties on organizations who are creative and profitable. I realize the TV deal is responsible for roughly 40% of the Dodgers overall revenue source, but the Dodgers have become the most efficient, profit generating organization in MLB. Under this ownership, the Dodgers revenue has increased exponentially. Imagine a scenario where a business outside of MLB is penalized for making a lot more money than its competitors. Every MLB owner has an equal opportunity to extract the highest revenue from its designated region. They are handed a monopoly over their region. Have the Pirates, Marlins, etc., done enough to increase revenue? Either their ownership groups have become stagnant or perhaps a case could be made for the relocation of their organization is necessary. What I see is a stagnant system that has become comfortable playing checkers. However, the Dodgers understand that the fanbase wishes to be entertained. Fans want to see their teamsup their game and engage in a chess match. Pardon the analogy. The Dodgers have mastered the game of baseball chess. Why force them to play checkers. How about MLB finds an alternate ways to encourage owners to up their game. Those who refuse, let the market dictate their eject strategy. Adapt or die. The Dodgers have paved the way. Teams should be following their model for increasing their revenue.
its prospect talk everywhere! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/future-projection/id1555299031?i=1000746831750 in this Baseball America ‘mailbag’ podcast, they talk about prospects who just missed the top 100. They lead off with Alex Freeland! In the BA podcast they go in depth in analyzing the Too 100 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/baseball-america/id201539011?i=1000746762142 this one starts off with Ben Badler waxing rhapsodic about Sirota. Finally, the Call-up preview is the most impactful seasons for prospects: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/470-upcoming-prospect-seasons-were-most-intrigued-by/id1604440106?i=1000745489873 They go through an overview of a slew of Dodger OFs, but really focus on Davalan.
The problem is the owners. The owners who have money don’t spend it (they don’t need to, but they don’t.) The owners won’t open their books even in negotiation. The owners won’t talk about market based solutions either. The way to lessen the advantage of big media market teams getting bigger local tv deals is to put more teams into NYC, LA and other big cities. Owners won’t do this either. they want to expand to smaller cities and thus exacerbate the problem
The Orioles improved dramatically. Now, if their kids also improve, they could be the best team in the AL
NL – Dodgers, Phillies, Braves, Mets, Cubs, Giants AL – Blue Jays, Yankees, Red Sox, Tigers, Mariners, Orioles
That is the way I see it. As usual Bluto, excellent summary of the issue at hand.
Man, Dodgers are done until Spring, huh?
What else do they need????
Absolutely nobody!
Well, next week, my wife and I go to Tampa for a week, and then I will be in Glendale, Arizona, at Camelback Ranch for the games on February 24th and 26th. I am ready for some Dodger Baseball. I will bring you at least one interesting interview.
Looking forward to it
I went over to http://www.LAdodgerChronicles.com today. BTW, Jeff Dominique is very knowledgeable, and, of course, Bear is there too, but I chuckled that I’ve called everyone I see who posts there (maybe except for Bobby, Jeff, and Bear) a Moron. Not because I thought they were Morons, but because they were certified as Monons. I read the whole thread and thought: “Yeah, it’s just a big circle jerk.” Yes, I say mean things! But I tell the truth!
I ain’t betting on it!
MLB announced that the trade deadline will be Monday, August 3rd at 6 PM EST.
I missed that somehow.
Is that the latest it has ever been?
In the new set up yes. Remember you used to be able to trade up until September 1st.
Yeah… I think I liked that better.
And the wealthiest….if Baltimore could afford to pay scouts and coaches what the Dodgers pay, they’d be a perennial power too. Need someone from the Dodgers organization to scout young pitchers for the Orioles….not enough pitching depth in the organization.