SponsorUS Water Systems
LA Dodger Talk

And the Magic Number is 5

The Magic Number is down to 5. The Rockies do not look like they are going away, so the Dodgers are going to need to win this race. I am more than fine with that. On a night that showcased another of those all RHH lineups against a very good LHSP, the players came through when they needed to. The team scored 7 runs with only one solo HR, so

By Jeff Dominique5 min readJump to 51 comments

The Magic Number is down to 5.  The Rockies do not look like they are going away, so the Dodgers are going to need to win this race.  I am more than fine with that.  On a night that showcased another of those all RHH lineups against a very good LHSP, the players came through when they needed to.  The team scored 7 runs with only one solo HR, so they actually had to hit with runners in scoring position to win this one.  4-16 with WRISP is not great, but it was enough last night.

 

Robbie Ray was his normal effectively wild self, throwing 100 pitches in 5 innings.  You need to get to Ray early because he gets better as the game goes on.  And when he only faces RHH, he can get into one of his grooves.  The Dodgers had him on the ropes in the 1st but Matt Kemp was unable to get the big hit with the bases full. Ray allowed 2 hits and 1walk over the next four innings.  Fortunately, one of those hits was a David Freese HR which temporarily tied the score at 2 in the 5th.  Freese had both RBI’s against Ray.  I think he has sewn up the RHH bench role for the playoffs, if there was any doubt.

 

Puig and Muncy stayed hot in their pinch-hitting roles, but it was the Manny Machado ground out to SS Michael Ahmed in the 7th that put the Dodgers in front to stay.  That was the key AB for me.  It proves that one does not have to get a HR or even a hit to score a run with a runner on 3rd with less than 2 outs.  MAKE CONTACT and good things may happen.  I give Machado tremendous credit for that.  It is not easy to get the ball in the air against Ziegler, and Machado did not try to do too much with the pitch and made good contact in the hole.  No chance for a DP, and a run scored.  Tremendous piece of hitting against one of the best ground ball pitchers in the game.

 

Yoshihisa Hirano has been very effective against the Dodgers in 7 previous games; 5 scoreless.  He did allow a HR to Forsythe on April 2, and one to Muncy on April 30, but nothing since.  Two hits, two walks, and two wild pitches scored two runs in the decisive 9th, and a Manny Machado double scored a third.  Machado and Freese came up big last night.  Kemp had a tough night leaving the bases loaded twice, but he has come up big recently and not every night can a batter be a hero.

 

On yet another night where we are reminded that Clayton Kershaw may be good, but he is not the Clayton Kershaw most of us have followed for the past 11 years.  He is stubborn and instead of trying to pitch around Marte (who obviously had his number last night), he continued to challenge him and came up second best each time.  Triple, HR, single for 3 RBI’s against Kershaw.  Marte was 1-13 against Kershaw before last night, so Kershaw had to try to prove who was better, and he came up short.  The Dodgers need to get this Division wrapped up before next Sunday because Kershaw is due to pitch on Sunday, and as Dodgerrick pointed out, #22 has not been the Ace in must win games.  By the way, I am glad Dodgerrick is back after several games away.  He keeps most of us with “rose colored glasses” (as he likes to say) honest and always thinking.

 

Yes, Jansen gave up the HR to Pollock in the 9th, but he K’s two Dodger killers, Goldy and Descalso, before getting Peralta to end the game.  With a 4-run lead, throw strikes.  If you are around the plate, good hitters are going to get a HR every now and then.  But before Doc called on Jansen, it was Ferguson, Alexander, and Maeda that got the Dodgers to the 9th with a lead.  It sure looks like Doc is not afraid to call on Ferguson in a high leverage situation.  He is relying on his fastball too much, so he is going to need to at least show his off-speed pitch at times.  Does not have to be for strikes, but a ML hitter can hit a 95+ MPH fastball, especially if that is all they see and can time it.  He is 22 so he is still not yet fully developed as a “pitcher”.

 

Ferguson can learn from Archie Bradley.  Bradley threw 13 pitches last night.  He sprinkled in three knuckle curves in with ten 95+ fastballs.  Bradley tried to be a SP with two pitches but has now found a home as one of the best any point in the game high leverage situation relievers.  If the DBacks actually find a closer, they can have a bullpen like last year’s Indians bullpen with Miller and Allen.

 

I am not going to be tempted into talking about next year until this season is over, but there are a lot of questions that are percolating.  What we Dodger fans need to see is a WS victory this year so next year isn’t so critical.

 

Tonight, Walker Buehler goes for the Dodgers, and the only DBacks batter to get a hit against him is Goldy who is 2-3.  He started against the DBacks on September 2, going 6.2 IP and allowing 1 run on 2 hits, 3 walks, and 9 strikeouts.  He left tied at 1 apiece.  This was the game that Matt Kemp won with a 2-run walk off double against Archie Bradley after the DBacks got the lead in the 9th on a Descalso HR.

 

RHP Matt Koch goes for the DBacks who last pitched against LAD on May 1.  He went 5.0 IP allowing 4 hits, 3 runs (2 earned), 3 BB, and 3 K.  CT3 will undoubtedly be back in the leadoff role tonight and was 2-3 against him in that May 1 game.  Cody Bellinger hit a 2 run HR and Alex Verdugo had a double.  In that game, Kershaw started and left the game after 6.0 IP and the lead, only to see Adam Liberatore give up 2 runs on two singles and a triple without getting an out, and the DBacks went on to win.

 

The Dodgers just have to keep on winning, and it will not matter what the Rockies do.  I do not want the WC game, so they have to hold off the Rockies, who will not go quietly.  The Brewers are making the NL Central a race as well.  They are only 1.5 games behind the Cubs, and the Cubs and Brewers face each other on the final weekend.  Even though I do not want the WC, I do want the playoffs, so I am hopeful that the Brewers can finish off the Cardinals in the next two games.  In the race for home field between the NL West winner and Braves, the Braves get to joy to face both Thor and deGrom in the next two games.

 

GO BLUE!!!

Discussion (51)

Disagree, not disagreeable

Be civil — moderation is real. Links may need a moment of review.

  1. Vegas DodgerSeptember 26, 2018

    Tough loss and wasted Buehler’s start. Doc is a mad scientist, why is Maeda throwing to Rocky Gale there?

  2. Val9000September 26, 2018

    I agree that Roberts kept Floro in there too long and I also would have loved to see Freese pinch hit for either Joc or Muncy there in the 9th. This loss isn’t on Roberts though… we were just terrible tonight with RISP.

    I’m not crazy about Strip starting tomorrow… I hope he looks better than he has in his last few outings.

  3. dodgerrickSeptember 26, 2018

    The last 2 games have been the Dodgers’ season in microcosm.

    9/24 – 4 for 16 RISP, only HR is a solo shot

    9/25 – 2 for 12 RISP, only HR is a solo shot

    9/24 – pen throw 3 innings and gives up a run in the 9th – it takes 4 pitchers to go 3 innings

    9/25 – pen throw 3 innings and gives up 2 runs in 3 innings including a run in the 9th – it takes 6 pitchers to throw 2+ innings

    Too many platoons, bad clutch hitting and pitching. The Dodgers should be winning – heck, they should have been winning all season. But they don’t because these may be the least clutch Dodger team I have ever watched.

    The Dodgers Digest crew are writing a 3 article series on the subject. An excerpt from Part 1:

    ” FanGraphs has a Clutch stat which identifies how much better or worse a player or team does in high leverage situations than they would have done in a context neutral environment. The starting rotation last year led the league at +2.38, well above the league-average of +0.63. This year the starters have performed much worse, sitting well below the league-average mark of +0.10. Lastly, the most relevant factor is that even with great performance from starters, poor bullpen performance will ruin potential wins, which ultimately has been the culprit more often than not.”

    “Obviously, one major factor which hasn’t been addressed, is the incredibly awful Clutch performance. Last year the Dodgers weren’t fantastic, but they were better than the league-average of -1.54. This year, they’re dead last in the league and impressively below the league-average mark of -1.14. To put this into context, the clutch statistic goes back to 1974, which means it accounts for 45 years in total. Among all Dodger seasons since 1974, the offensive clutch rating this year is the second-worst performance of all 45 of those Dodger teams. The only worse team were the 1989 Dodgers at -7.64, as they went 77-83, good for fourth in the NL West.”

    From Part 2:

    “Overall the bullpen performing worse than average in clutch situations doesn’t help anything, but even last year with a mediocre clutch rating, they were still easily a top five bullpen. Besides that, the most notable difference is the drop-off in overall performance. This has resulted in records of 22-21 in one run games and 8-7 in extra inning games this year, compared to 25-19 and 8-4 last year. Already that’s three more wins and five less losses. The bullpen totaled 97 holds and only 16 blown saves in 2017, compared to just 82 holds and 26 blown saves this year. ”

    In short, those not wearing the rose-colored specs can see that this may be the worst clutch Dodger team in history. The hitters don’t come through and either do the relievers. You can argue if it’s only a few players that you can chalk it up to bad luck or something similar, but when it’s nearly everybody, you have to consider a design flaw. Too many guys trying to hit HRs every time up, not enough contact, (too many Ks) not enough of a change in approach with RISP or with 2 outs or 2 strikes and a poorly-constructed bullpen.

    If the Dodgers don’t make the post-season or don’t progress far, after last year’s team and the expectations that we have as fans we are going to look back at 2018 as the season that could have been great but wasn’t, and demand to know why.

  4. Watford DodgerSeptember 26, 2018

    Rick – that is a really well written post that clearly shows that we have not been imagining what we have known deep down all season.

    I can honestly see us scrambling into the WC game at this point, or worse still, missing out altogether.

More from Dodger Talk

Kim and Sasaki: Dodger Mistakes?

I have heard a few Dodger fans say that maybe the Dodgers made a mistake in signing Roki Sasaki and Hyeseong Kim. Of course, Kim was sent to OKC at the end of Spring Training to work on his hitting. It’s early, but last night he was 2-4 with two walks and 4 RBI, as he hit a…

By Mark Timmons · March 30, 202554

Walker Buehler – Dodger Legend

It seems to many Dodger fans that Walker Buehler won 200 games and three Cy Youngs as a Dodger. The fact is: he won 47 games in his 7 years with the Dodgers, with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.090 WHIP. His best season was 2021, where he went 16-4 with a 2.47 ERA and a .0968 WHIP. He…

By Mark Timmons · December 25, 202431